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Reading: How markets might react to Trump-Putin talks and Modi’s GST tax reform on Monday?
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StockWaves > Financial News > How markets might react to Trump-Putin talks and Modi’s GST tax reform on Monday?
Financial News

How markets might react to Trump-Putin talks and Modi’s GST tax reform on Monday?

StockWaves By StockWaves Last updated: August 16, 2025 8 Min Read
How markets might react to Trump-Putin talks and Modi’s GST tax reform on Monday?
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Contents
Trump-Putin talksStay OccasionsPM Modi proclaims GST charge cutsTrump-Putin assembly impression on inventory marketsGST impression on inventory markets
The understanding reached between the US President Donald Trump and his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin on Ukraine is predicted to buoy markets when buying and selling resumes on Monday. Including to the optimism, Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s Independence Day announcement of main Items and Companies Tax (GST) reforms this Diwali might additional enhance investor sentiment, opine consultants.

Trump-Putin talks

Whereas Trump and Putin didn’t attain a deal to finish Russia’s battle in Ukraine, Putin claimed he and Trump had reached an “understanding”.

The near three-hour assembly between the 2 heads in Alaska has not resulted in a ceasefire between the warring nations (Russia-Ukraine) however Trump referred to as it a “superb assembly” although he stated that there is not any deal till there’s a deal.

“We had an excellent assembly at this time, and I believe a number of factors had been negotiated on behalf of Ukraine”, he stated. “There isn’t any deal till there is a deal,” and acknowledged that he plans to talk with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and European leaders quickly.

Stay Occasions

Putin then again warned Europe to not “torpedo the nascent progress.”.

PM Modi proclaims GST charge cuts

On the home entrance, PM Modi’s introduced charge cuts to be rolled out by Diwali within the GST 2.0. Talking from the Crimson Fort on Independence Day, Modi stated GST charges might be lowered on everyday-use items as a part of reforms to the eight-year-old tax regime.Quoting Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman, PTI later reported that the federal government envisages two slabs — normal and advantage — plus particular charges for choose objects, changing the present 4 brackets of 5%, 12%, 18% and 28%, with luxurious and sin items attracting an extra levy.

Trump-Putin assembly impression on inventory markets

Kranthi Bathini, Director-Fairness Technique at WealthMills Securities stated that the assembly between Trump and Putin is a optimistic growth and a progress from the sooner logjam and world inventory markets will take it effectively even with out particular outcomes. These are advanced issues and can’t be resolved in a single assembly. The settlement to fulfill once more with calm markets,” Bathini stated.

Anuj Gupta, Director at Ya Wealth International Analysis, echoes an identical sentiment additional highlighting Trump’s assertion that he would maintain off imposing tariffs on China for purchasing Russian oil. It is a progress, Gupta stated, including that he didn’t point out India, which is one other main purchaser of Russian crude and has been slapped with a complete 50% tariff together with penalty for the imports from Russia.

Sunny Agrawal, Head – Retail Basic Desk at SBI Securities referred to as no destructive growth as a optimistic set off for the market. “Trump’s assertion that “he won’t have to think about retaliatory tariffs on nations shopping for Russian oil proper now however might should “in two or three weeks” now presents not less than a brief reduction to nations like India”. It appears that evidently an extra tariff of 25% on India starting August 27 for importing crude oil from Russia, might be on a backburner, he opined.

In the meantime, Jefferies’ world head of fairness technique, Christopher Wooden, stated the Trump administration’s imposing a 50% tariff on Indian imports shouldn’t be a motive to promote Indian equities. As an alternative, it is a motive to purchase them since “it is just a matter of time earlier than Trump backs off the stance, which isn’t in America’s curiosity.”

“It’s value noting that the observe file makes it clear that it pays to face as much as Donald,” stated Wooden in his newest ‘Greed & Worry’ report.

GST impression on inventory markets

Agrawal of SBI Securities stated that India’s plan to maneuver to 2 slab GST construction (5% and 18%) coupled with 1 extra slab of 40% for sin merchandise augurs effectively for consumption. “Few classes like massive TV, AC, cement, cars, and so forth are prone to get cheaper, as they’re shifted from 28% class to 18%. Furthermore, discount in GST charges on insurance coverage merchandise additionally will ease burden on customers. Cheaper cement costs can have a multiplier impact on varied sectors like actual property, roads/highways/infra as price of manufacturing is prone to cut back and the identical may be handed on to the patron,” he stated.

Whereas the markets will take the information positively, its implementation must be swift, in any other case the festive season sale might get postponed in anticipation of the diminished costs, thereby impacting the demand within the quick time period.

Gupta and Bathini additionally lauded the announcement saying that any rest from GST on this competition season will enhance consumption and assist in the general progress of the financial system. They stated that the consumption theme like FMCG, autos might now be in focus.

Indian equities snapped a six week shedding streak ending with weekly beneficial properties of over 1%.

Market skilled Santosh Meena stated that Indian markets might react over GST and the “productive” Trump-Putin assembly once they resume buying and selling on Monday.

The Head of Analysis at Swastika Investmart decodes the Nifty chart highlighting formation of a powerful base on the 24,350 stage, which he stated is a bullish engulfing candlestick sample on the weekly chart. “The rapid resistance lies on the 20 and 50-day shifting averages (DMAs) clustered round 24,700-24,800. A decisive break above this stage might set off a short-covering rally in direction of 24,950, 25,080, and 25,225. Fast assist is on the 100-DMA of 24,575, with the essential assist stage remaining at 24,350,” Meena stated.

Nevertheless, Anand James, Chief Market Strategist at Geojit Investments expects extra draw back from right here. “Directional shifting indicators are nonetheless in favour of extra downsides with 24,000 and 23,560 as potential draw back helps attracting costs decrease,” he stated.

“That stated, the final week noticed a number of makes an attempt to push larger, giving us reversal hopes. Apparently none of these strikes managed to efficiently shut above the 24670-720 band, the close to time period congestion resistance, they did handle to convey parabolic sar beneath the worth, lending a optimistic bias. Extra importantly, the broader market has proven even higher indicators of resilience having had the best variety of Nifty 500 constituents closing above 10 day SMA, since twenty fourth July. By the way, the Nifty had tumbled from the 25,200 area on that day. This may be the target we might be aiming, ought to we clear above 24,720 on Monday,” James stated.

(Disclaimer: Suggestions, solutions, views and opinions given by the consultants are their very own. These don’t characterize the views of Financial Instances)

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