Delivery containers from China on the China Delivery (North America) Holding Firm Ltd. facility on the Port of Los Angeles in Wilmington, California, Feb. 4, 2025.
Mike Blake | Reuters
President Donald Trump has lengthy been a fan of tariffs, and in his first month again within the White Home he wasted no time imposing new — and comparatively excessive — tariffs on imported items from Canada, Mexico and China.
Whereas Trump has suspended the tariffs on Canada and Mexico for no less than one month whereas these nations negotiate with america on commerce and border safety, new 10% tariffs on Chinese language imports started Tuesday.
And given Trump’s historical past, it’s possible that he’ll wield the specter of tariffs once more throughout his subsequent 4 years in workplace.
CNBC spoke with commerce skilled David Gantz to get solutions to the questions many People may need about tariffs after seeing a flurry of headlines about Trump’s favourite commerce negotiation software prior to now week.
David A. Gantz, Will Clayton Fellow in Commerce and Worldwide Economics at Rice College’s Baker Institute for Public Coverage.
Courtesy: Wilson Heart
Gantz is the Will Clayton Fellow in Commerce and Worldwide Economics at Rice College’s Baker Institute for Public Coverage, and beforehand served because the U.S. choose on the Administrative Tribunal of the Group of American States, in addition to a advisor for the World Financial institution.
What’s a tariff?
“It is basically a tax on imported items,” Gantz mentioned. “The tax is decided by … the worth of the products declared by the exporters.”
“For some commodities, it is a worth per ton, however on basically all shopper items it is the worth of the product,” Gantz mentioned.
“Sometimes the worth is what an impartial purchaser would pay to an impartial vendor,” he mentioned.
Items topic to tariffs might be commodities or different uncooked supplies, similar to metal; part merchandise, similar to vehicle transmissions; and completed merchandise, similar to a Mercedes-Benz sedan.
Tariffs are often a proportion of the worth of the imported items. For a tariff of two.5%, the responsibility paid could be $2.50 for each $100 worth of products.
Who pays the tariff?
“Underneath the legislation, the importer is liable for paying the tariff,” Gantz mentioned.
A U.S. vehicle firm, for instance, would pay the tariff on a transmission imported from Korea that the corporate will use to assemble an SUV.
“However” — and it is a huge however — “the importer underneath regular circumstances would switch it up the road to the wholesaler, to the distributor, and in the end to the patron,” Gantz mentioned.
In different phrases, whereas an importer will initially pay the tariff, one other firm and ultimately the tip consumer, or shopper, will foot some or all of its price.
Gantz used the instance of crude oil that’s drilled in Alberta, Canada, and shipped through pipeline to america, the place it finally ends up being refined into gasoline or diesel gasoline.
Underneath Trump’s now-suspended tariffs, power merchandise imported from Canada could be topic to a ten% levy. If Alberta crude is promoting for $60 a barrel, the extra tariff can be $6 per barrel imported.
As a result of revenue margins on gasoline “are very, very small,” Gantz mentioned, “the total price of the $6 goes to be handed on” to the patron on the pump at fuel stations similar to BP.
“BP will not be going to soak up any a part of the extra $6 or no matter it’s,” he mentioned.
Along with gasoline, shoppers are more than likely to see worth hikes that absolutely replicate the tariff price on perishable meals objects similar to vegatables and fruits, the place revenue margins likewise are low, Gantz mentioned.
However for importers with larger revenue margins, “when you’ve got a comparatively excessive mark-up, similar to branded footwear, you could possibly take up a lot of the extra price” from tariffs with out passing all of it on to the patron, he mentioned.
Who collects tariffs?
“Tariffs are collected by Customs and Border Safety, a division of the Division of Homeland Safety,” Gantz mentioned.
However “it is paid instantly into an account that instantly goes into the Treasury,” he mentioned.
The Treasury Division, which beforehand had oversight over CPB, is liable for accumulating income for the U.S. authorities.
Vehicles drive into United States on the Otay Mesa Port of Entry, on the U.S.-Mexico border on February 1, 2025 in San Diego, California.
Apu Gomes | Getty Photos
How a lot does the U.S. authorities get from tariffs?
Not loads — regardless of beforehand being loads, comparatively talking.
In fiscal 12 months 2024, the U.S. collected simply $77 billion in tariffs, which quantities to about 1.5% of all federal income, in keeping with a report by the Congressional Analysis Service.
“Over the previous 70 years, tariffs have by no means accounted for rather more than 2% of whole federal income,” the CRS report mentioned.
Why are tariffs used?
When america grew to become a rustic within the late 18th century, tariffs “had been the principal supply of presidency income, as a result of we didn’t have a [permanent] revenue tax till 1913,” Gantz mentioned.
“For effectively over 100 years they had been the foremost supply of U.S. authorities revenues,” he mentioned.
Tariffs throughout that point may very well be as excessive as 40% or extra on imported items.
Tariffs are “additionally very straightforward to gather,” Gantz mentioned. “Import tax is collected on the border, and should you do not pay the tax you aren’t getting your good.”
“They had been additionally used over these years to guard new industries … significantly in New England.”
Excessive tariffs meant that merchandise imported into the U.S. had a aggressive drawback to merchandise sourced within the U.S.
Employees talk about their job at Steelcon, a structural metal design and fabrication firm, earlier than a marketing campaign cease by Ontario Premier Doug Ford in St. Catharines, Ontario, Canada, January 31, 2025.
Carlos Osorio | Reuters
Protectionist tariffs within the U.S. stay, similar to within the metal trade, the place imported metal is subjected to levies.
Why are they much less frequent right this moment?
Tariffs had been sharply lowered and have become a much less vital supply of federal income within the U.S. after a federal revenue tax was reestablished in 1913 — after having been imposed in the course of the Civil Battle to pay for the prices of the battle earlier than being repealed in 1872.
In 1930, Congress handed the Smoot-Hawley Tariff Act, which raised levies on a broad vary of imports in an effort to guard U.S. companies in the course of the onset of the Nice Despair. The act led to retaliatory tariffs by different nations and is broadly seen as exacerbating the financial distress of the Despair.
“If we elevate our tariffs, different nations elevate their tariffs,” Gantz mentioned.
He mentioned that after Trump mentioned he would impose a 25% tariff on imports from Canada, that nation “got here up with a very detailed checklist of about $150 billion of U.S. imports that they had been going to extend import taxes on,” with a concentrate on items from states whose legislators supported the U.S. tariffs.
China on Tuesday mentioned it should impose extra tariffs of 15% on coal and liquefied pure fuel imported from america, and additional 10% duties on U.S. crude oil, agricultural equipment, and a few vehicles.
However Gantz mentioned that having tariffs comparatively decrease than they had been in the course of the nineteenth century can profit U.S. shoppers — and make it politically dangerous to boost them.
“If we now have [relatively] low tariffs on items from China, that most likely saves households $2,000 or $3,000 per 12 months on every little thing from tv units to Barbie dolls,” Gantz mentioned.
And the financial savings from low tariffs “has been crucial to low-income employees as a result of they do not have a lot cash,” he mentioned.
What about Trump?
In his current inaugural deal with, Trump lauded former President William McKinley, who served within the White Home from 1897 till he was assassinated in 1901. As a member of the Home of Representatives, McKinley championed the McKinley Tariff of 1890, which sharply raised import levies.
“President McKinley made our nation very wealthy by way of tariffs and thru expertise,” Trump mentioned in his speech.
That declare is perhaps a tad hyperbolic.
Douglas Irwin, an economics professor at Dartmouth School who has studied McKinley’s tariffs, instructed The Washington Submit just lately, “It isn’t like [Trump’s] portray a very inaccurate image.”
“However I feel he tends to magnify the position of the tariff as producing all this prosperity,” Irwin mentioned. Irwin famous that tariffs already had been excessive earlier than McKinley helped increase them, “So it isn’t just like the tariff jump-started additional progress.”
Gantz mentioned the rationale Trump just lately cited for imposing tariffs — stemming the stream of migrants and the lethal opioid fentanyl from Mexico, Canada and China — will not be a standard rationale for tariffs.
“However they weren’t the one purpose,” Gantz mentioned.
“Trump for years has been sad with the commerce deficit we have run with Canada and Mexico,” he mentioned. “And he has additionally talked about learn how to get corporations in Canada and Mexico to maneuver to america.”
Trump additionally sees tariffs as a income that “will make it simpler to lower taxes, totally on rich folks,” Gantz mentioned. “That is the speculation.”
“He loves them. He thinks they’re the answer to every little thing.”