Ace fund supervisor Samir Arora has taken to social media to make clear a standard false impression in foreign money arithmetic — find out how to appropriately calculate depreciation of the Indian Rupee (INR) versus appreciation of the US Greenback (USD).
Arora, the founder and fund supervisor at Helios Capital, highlighted that whereas most headlines usually state that the greenback has appreciated by a sure share towards the rupee, it doesn’t imply the rupee has depreciated by the very same share. The distinction arises due to how foreign money values are quoted and the way depreciation is measured.
For example, he used the instance of the rupee shifting from USD 1 = ₹61 to USD 1 = ₹88. At first look, this seems to be just like the greenback has appreciated by about 44%. Nevertheless, that doesn’t imply the rupee has depreciated by 44%. The truth is, the rupee has depreciated by solely 30.6% throughout this era.
Arora broke it down with a less complicated instance:
Rupee Vs Greenback
If the rupee weakens from ₹50 per greenback to ₹100 per greenback, the greenback’s worth seems to have doubled — an appreciation of 100%.
However for somebody holding ₹100, the calculation seems to be completely different. Earlier, ₹100 would fetch $2, whereas now it fetches solely $1. Which means the rupee’s buying energy in greenback phrases has halved — a 50% depreciation, not 100%.
This fashion of it, Arora careworn, offers a clearer perspective for buyers and odd residents. Whereas the optics of “USD appreciating by 100%” could seem alarming, the precise influence on rupee holders is completely different and should be appropriately calculated.
The clarification is essential as a result of foreign money strikes are sometimes on the heart of market narratives, commerce flows, and inflation expectations. A exact understanding of how depreciation is measured may help buyers make higher monetary choices and keep away from exaggerated interpretations.
In essence, Arora’s level underlines that INR depreciation ought to be calculated from the attitude of how a lot fewer {dollars} one should buy with the identical rupee quantity, fairly than merely mirroring the USD appreciation share.
Disclaimer: The views and suggestions made above are these of particular person analysts or broking firms, and never of Mint. We advise buyers to verify with licensed consultants earlier than making any funding choices.