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Reading: Varun Drinks shares crack over 6% after Q3 outcomes. What analysts say?
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StockWaves > Financial News > Varun Drinks shares crack over 6% after Q3 outcomes. What analysts say?
Financial News

Varun Drinks shares crack over 6% after Q3 outcomes. What analysts say?

StockWaves By StockWaves Last updated: February 11, 2025 5 Min Read
Varun Drinks shares crack over 6% after Q3 outcomes. What analysts say?
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Contents
After reporting its This autumn numbers, here’s what analysts should say in regards to the inventory:Morgan Stanley: Obese| Goal worth: Rs 674JM Monetary: Purchase| Goal worth: Rs 675Motilal Oswal: Purchase| Goal worth: Rs 680ICICI Securities: Maintain| Goal worth: 606
The shares of Varun Drinks (VBL) fell 6.5% to their day’s low of Rs 513.10 on the BSE in intraday commerce, a day after reporting its outcomes for the fourth quarter ended December 2024.

The agency reported a 36.1% YoY surge in its internet revenue at Rs 195.64 crore, whereas its internet revenues have been up by 38.3% YoY.

The web revenue for the stated quarter at Rs 195.64 crore is towards Rs 143.76 crore reported within the year-ago interval.

Pespico’s bottling companion Varun Drinks’ internet revenues, after accounting for the excise obligation, additionally confirmed a wholesome improve of 38.3%, totaling Rs 3,688.79 crore. In the meantime, the income from operations elevated by a formidable 39.8% year-over-year, reaching Rs 3,817.61 crore in comparison with Rs 2,730.98 crore in the identical interval final 12 months.

After reporting its This autumn numbers, here’s what analysts should say in regards to the inventory:

Morgan Stanley: Obese| Goal worth: Rs 674

Morgan Stanley maintained an ‘Obese’ score on Varun Drinks with a goal worth of Rs 674. Morgan Stanley said that the agency has reiterated its steerage for quantity and margins in calendar 12 months 2025 (CY25). Progress momentum stays sturdy in Q1CY25. Varun Drinks’ administration has additionally not reported any affect from Campa’s competitors in India. The worldwide brokerage agency additionally notes that the market already had a 20% share of “B” manufacturers, that are positioned at cheaper price factors than Pepsi. Distribution enlargement, providing double-digit development alternatives from 4 million retailers, stays a key development driver. The agency believes the market is giant sufficient to accommodate new competitors.Additionally learn: Vodafone Concept Q3 Outcomes Preview: Losses to shrink QoQ, pushed by tariffs and ARPU uptick

JM Monetary: Purchase| Goal worth: Rs 675

JM Monetary has maintained its ‘purchase’ view on the inventory with a goal worth of Rs 675 towards Rs 725 earlier.

Varun Drinks’ administration has said they see no indicators of an city slowdown and stay assured in attaining double-digit quantity development of their India enterprise. They consider competitors exists primarily at cheaper price factors the place PepsiCo merchandise should not current, and so they at the moment see no must introduce sub-brands or new SKUs in that section.

Nevertheless, factoring in a miss in Q3, JM Monetary sees some moderation in India margins because of elevated competitors, decrease realizations within the worldwide market, and incorporating the Tanzania acquisition, estimates for CY25 and CY26 have been reduce by roughly 4-7%. The inventory has corrected by over 20% from its peak and at the moment trades at 45x CY26E. Superior execution, a big market alternative, and a internet debt-free standing give confidence in earnings development, with a projected CAGR of 26% over CY24-26E.

Motilal Oswal: Purchase| Goal worth: Rs 680

Motilal Oswal has reiterated its ‘purchase’ name on Varun Drinks with a goal worth of Rs 680.

Varun Drinks is projected to maintain its earnings momentum, fueled by a number of key components. These embrace elevated market penetration in newly acquired territories throughout Africa, secure development inside the home market, and continued enlargement of capability and distribution attain, with a deliberate 10% annual improve in retailers.

Moreover, the rising availability of refrigeration in rural and semi-rural areas is predicted to contribute to VBL’s constructive trajectory. Monetary projections point out a compound annual development price (CAGR) of 12% for income, 11% for EBITDA, and 17% for PAT over the interval of CY24-26. Present earnings estimates for CY25 and CY26 are largely being maintained.

ICICI Securities: Maintain| Goal worth: 606

ICICI Securities has maintained a ‘maintain’ score on the inventory with a goal worth of Rs 606.

ICICI Securities observes a big change within the assumed terminal development price for Varun Drinks following its acquisition of a number of geographies. Continued sturdy development charges are projected, with a sturdy CY25 summer time foreseen.

VBL achieved 11.4% year-over-year natural quantity development in CY24 regardless of weak macroeconomic situations and inflationary pressures, demonstrating sturdy quantity development. Whereas ICICI Securities stays structurally constructive on VBL, it considers valuations on the present market worth to be stretched.

(Disclaimer: Suggestions, recommendations, views and opinions given by the consultants are their very own. These don’t characterize the views of The Financial Instances)

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