Bullish sentiment dominated 4 out of the final 5 buying and selling periods, backed by a pointy intraday rally, resilient assist zones, and strategic time-based inflection factors that aligned nicely with current market strikes.
One of many key supporting indicators for the bulls was the continued decline in India VIX, which slipped by 1.6% to shut at 12.39 on Friday.
A decrease VIX signifies lowered volatility expectations and bolsters investor confidence—an encouraging signal heading into the ultimate buying and selling periods of the primary half of FY25.
Evaluation: Time + Ranges = Tactical Precision
In our earlier replace, we had highlighted June 25 (±1 buying and selling day) as a high-alert reversal window — and the Nifty responded in textbook style.
June 24: Nifty opened with a pointy 225-point gap-up and confirmed excessive intraday volatility. This transfer set the stage for a 300+ level rally throughout the subsequent two periods.
Our resistance degree of 25,322 proved exact — Nifty made a day excessive precisely at this degree earlier than a pointy pullback.
On June 25, assist at 25,145 held robust, triggering a rebound.
On June 26, each 25,322 and 25,434 acted as essential swing zones, highlighting the energy of price-time confluence.
Time-based forecasting as soon as once more proved its advantage. Intraday reversals aligned remarkably nicely with pre-identified time home windows:
June 23: 10:30 AM slot matched day low at 10:15 AM; day excessive got here at 1:30 PM.
June 24: 9:20 AM low and 1:45 PM excessive aligned with projected time slots.
June 25: Value motion remained range-bound close to the 11:40 AM slot; 1:30 PM marked the day excessive.
June 26: 10:15 AM noticed a swing excessive, and momentum returned simply earlier than the 12:25 PM slot.
June 27: The market picked up tempo at 10:45 AM and peaked precisely at 12:40 PM — each matching the forecasted home windows.
Week after week, the convergence of time and ranges continues to ship high-probability swing and intraday setups for tactical merchants.
Time-Cycle Alert: June 30, 2025
June 30 will probably be an important resolution day. Look ahead to a breakout or breakdown from the excessive/low of the day — this might decide the subsequent main directional leg for Nifty. A transparent development rising from this session may set the tone for early July.
Intraday Time Slots: July 1–5, 2025
Merchants can use the next key time home windows to determine potential intraday development shifts, reversals, or high-probability entry/exit factors:
Monday, June 30: 9:25 AM | 11:10 AM | 12:35 PM | 2:40 PM
Tuesday, July 1: 9:15 AM | 10:20 AM | 11:20 AM
Wednesday, July 2: 11:20 AM | 12:45 PM
Thursday, July 3: 9:25 AM | 12:15 PM
Friday, July 4: 12:20 PM | 1:35 PM | 2:30 PM
These are vital instances the place intraday volatility, breakout makes an attempt, or development reversals are most probably to happen. Use decrease timeframes for affirmation.
Nifty Ranges to Watch
Helps:
25,566 | 25,434 | 25,320 | 25,120 | 24,978 | 24,856
Resistances:
25,600 | 25,910 | 26,234
A sustained transfer above 25,910 may open the gates for a check of 26,234, whereas a breach under the 25,120–25,320 zone could appeal to promoting strain and set off a corrective transfer.
Buying and selling Outlook
With time clusters and support-resistance ranges tightly aligned, tactical merchants ought to stay alert, particularly on June 30, a key inflection day. Persist with disciplined setups, use time-level alignment, and let worth motion affirm your trades. Precision continues to be the sting on this market.
(The creator is Director, Wealthview Analytics Pvt Ltd)
(Disclaimer: Suggestions, ideas, views, and opinions given by consultants are their very own. These don’t symbolize the views of The Financial Instances.)
