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CFTC Rule 4.41: Disclaimer
🎯 Prior Session
Cycle Day 1 delivered on its decrease enlargement, giving approach to a textbook bear push earlier than discovering tactical responsive consumers. Those that overstayed lengthy realized that gravity works quick when liquidity thins out.
⚙️ Cycle Day 2 Execution
The morning opened with a clear Continuation Lengthy set off (ES 6825–6829) that teased momentum earlier than fading quicker than Manny’s endurance for an additional “chart test” on the morning stroll.
Manny’s early breakout lengthy managed to wring a modest +5s and +10s, however even he admitted his fill was “horrible”—and the tape didn’t forgive.
By mid-morning, RSPR logic stored merchants out of back-to-back shedding A10s, a small mercy as sellers methodically pressed each assist shelf decrease.
The sandbox edges (6805–6845) grew to become a bear playground, and by 11:00–12:15 the session’s low-time window was absolutely weaponized.
From there, the LB&F at 6769–6773 arrange for the affected person hunter, nevertheless it was “exhausting AF” to carry by way of the chop. Those that did, discovered tactical success with +5, +10, +20 scale-outs as bears compelled lengthy liquidation and took full operational management.
🧠 Dealer’s Notes
Emotional administration was the quiet headline as we speak — as Manny quipped,
“Emo’s can usually result in poor commerce administration. Flexibility in sure areas, rigidity in others.”
The self-discipline theme echoed throughout the room — from execution remorse to ATA troubleshooting — reminding everybody that automation doesn’t substitute consciousness, it simply amplifies your habits.
🧊 Session Shut
Into the shut, a $4.2B MOC Promote Imbalance hit the tape — affirmation that bears owned as we speak’s battlefield.
David summed it up with veteran brevity:
“How the week closes may very well be a BIG inform.”
Friday’s session will reveal whether or not this was a remaining liquidation drive or a cycle management seize. Both method, buckle the chinstrap — it’s setup for a Cycle Day 3 inflection that would outline the week’s tone.
⚔️ Cycle Day 3 Transition
Vary Map: 6748 – 6820 – 6852
Fulcrum Zone: 6780 → Management Pivot
Bias: Tactical stability early, with danger of continuation spill if consumers can’t reclaim 6800.
