PTGDavid’s OPEX Odyssey – Could 16, 2025 Recap
“Capital Preservation within the Land of Wonky Rhythms”
7:30 AM – Welcome to the Fryday Circus 🎪
PTGDavid opened the day together with his traditional appeal:
“Good FRYday Morning” – a nod to each the market warmth and merchants about to get cooked in the event that they didn’t play it protected.
Minutes later, the Every day Buying and selling Technique briefing was served scorching and recent, with the roadmap clearly outlined:
Standing: Goal Fulfilled by 8:04 AM.
Effectivity in execution. 🧼
8:30 AM – File-Breaking OPEX Stats 🧠💰
David highlighted the gravity of the day:
$2.8 Trillion in choices set to run out—largest on file.
SPX alone accounts for $1.2T, single inventory choices for $580B.
Retail and a scorching SPX drive the surge.
4.6% of Russell 3000’s market cap at stake.
OPEX wasn’t simply “massive”—it was macro-magnetic.
9:00–10:30 AM – Chop Metropolis, Inhabitants: Everybody 🔪
Regardless of the early stage tags, issues shortly became a “no-fly zone.”
“Capital Preservation Day” was declared.
Between the chop and a number of worth rejections at VWAP, David remained cautious:
“I’m largely on the sidelines this morning.”
“Flush out the weak longs and rip it again.”
Visible aids like:
“The Chop is Actual”
- “Cleaning soap bar Bull”
…added comedian reduction to an in any other case irritating tape. The pictures did what the chart couldn’t: defined the market in meme-grade readability.
10:45–1:30 PM – Persistence Rewarded, the Grind Begins 📈
The day morphed right into a textbook OPEX rhythm:
“Searching for a grind up afternoon rhythm”
“Persistent CALL shopping for”
5955 ✅
5960 ✅
5974 Cash Field ✅ at 3:16 PM
Like a Netflix finale, the motion didn’t actually hit till after lunch.
Closing Bell – Jak the Ripper Arrives 🧨
Proper earlier than the bell:
MOC imbalance got here in at +$1.4B BUY
David quipped: “MOC is Mice Nutz”
Then corrected with: “Jak the Ripper for the closing bell”
The day ended with worth pinned close to highs—a full rhythm cycle from chop to melt-up.
🎓 Instructional Takeaway:
1. Know the Atmosphere:
OPEX days deliver distorted flows, sudden reversals, and macro-driven noise. Acknowledge it and shift to “Capital Preservation Mode” till readability emerges.
2. Value Ranges + Persistence = Edge:
PTGDavid’s pre-market ranges had been surgically correct. However he didn’t overtrade them. He waited for affirmation, prevented the early chop, and solely leaned in as soon as worth habits aligned with the thesis.
3. Emotional Self-discipline is a Technique:
All through the day, David bolstered course of over income:
“Don’t take into consideration P/L. Construct habits.”
“No motive to push on the string.”
Staying unshaken throughout indecision is the trait that separates expert merchants from the reactive herd.
🧠 Closing Phrase:
“You don’t survive OPEX by being intelligent. You survive by being calm, clear, and dedicated to your plan.”
