S&P 500 (ES)
Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: The Wild-Card Went Full Mad Max
For those who got here into in the present day anticipating a typical CD3 “Wild-Card” session, congratulations — Right now’s tape didn’t simply swing — it whipped, snapped, buckled, and dragged merchants throughout the ground like a barroom brawl at closing time.
WHY are markets crashing? Our logical rationalization:
There may be fairly actually solely ONE headline that may even be partially blamed for such a sudden market crash. At 11:20 AM ET, the US Labor Division stated the November and October employment “state of affairs” will probably be launched on December sixteenth.
Learn extra: @KobeissiLetter
Vary was 240 handles on 1.974M contracts exchanged
For larger element of how this present day unfolded, click on on the Buying and selling Room RECAP 11.20.25 hyperlink.
…Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1
Transition into Cycle Day 1: CAPITAL PRESERVATION DAY“
The prior cycle day was nothing in need of a clinic on simply how fragile market internals and dealer psychology actually are—particularly when juiced with a full tank of 0DTE nitro.
As lined within the RECAP, there are believable explanations for the sharp liquidation wave, although none rise to the extent of absolute reality. However one actuality stands undefeated:
Fade directional momentum on a day like that, and each your P/L and your psychological capital will probably be stretchered off the sphere.
Days like this are the place the PTG doctrine shines brightest:
“Align with the Dominant Drive.”
Break that rule, and also you’re not buying and selling—you’re volunteering for a monetary disciplinary listening to.
After which comes Fryday…
AKA Capital Preservation Day, the place survival takes priority over swagger. With volatility nonetheless swirling like an F5 liquidity funnel cloud, the finest commerce might very effectively be the one you don’t take.
Heroes Want Not Apply.
Solely disciplined, certified personnel permitted past this level. Everybody else might report back to the sidelines for necessary remark and deep respiration drills.
After all, nothing adjustments for PTG…Merely comply with your plan. Take solely Triple A setups and handle the $threat. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the trade.
PTG’s Main Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.
As such, eventualities to think about for in the present day’s buying and selling.
Bull Situation: Value sustains a bid above 6575+-, initially targets 6595 – 6615 zone.
Bear Situation: Value sustains a proposal under 6575+-, initially targets 6550 – 6540 zone.
PVA Excessive Edge = 6723 PVA Low Edge = 6550 Prior POC = 6595
ESZ
Nasdaq (NQ)
Prior Session was Cycle Day 3: “The Buffet Grew to become a Massacre”
CD3 didn’t simply ship the traditional two-sided buffet — it rolled out the carving knives and invited each camps to gorge themselves. And gorge they did.
Each the upside and draw back Statistical Excessive Zones had been tagged with precision, proper earlier than the session detonated right into a full-blown Outdoors Reversal Day that swallowed the prior 4 classes complete. Value didn’t simply fade into the shut — it limped throughout the end line dragging an oxygen tank.
Da Bears walked away with this grudge match in dominant style.
Da Bulls? Skewered like a roadside trophy in a Mad Max Matador showdown — horns, conceal, and hope all left scattered on the battlefield.
And the aftermath?
A MAGS-7 demolition path so ruthless that Portfolio Managers and Merchants had been left fumbling for a tourniquet, tour information, or time machine — something to halt the bloodletting.
Vary for this session was 1236 handles on 975k contracts exchanged.
…Transition from Cycle Day 3 to Cycle Day 1
Transition into Cycle Day 1: The Bulls stagger into in the present day’s session nonetheless patching up wounds from yesterday’s Mad Max Matador bloodbath.
Value is now camped uncomfortably near the October swing low — a spot the place Bulls both muster a counter-charge or quietly limp into the weekend, hoping the Thanksgiving-shortened week delivers one thing kinder than this week’s steel-toed temper.
Reality is… there isn’t a lot shade left to color on this week’s canvas of carnage. PTG’s stance stays the identical:
Self-discipline. Danger management. Solely AAA-Plus setups.
It’s Capital Preservation FRYday — the form of session the place execs survive not with bravado, however with restraint. Shield the account so you’ll be able to commerce tomorrow… subsequent week… subsequent month… and for a few years forward.
Survive → Advance.
Dwell to take the good pictures, not the determined ones.
After all, nothing adjustments for PTG…Merely comply with your plan. Take solely Triple A setups and handle the $threat. ALWAYS HAVE HARD STOP-LOSSES in-place on the trade.
PTG’s Main Directive (PD) is to ALWAYS STAY IN ALIGNMENT with the DOMINANT FORCE.
As such, eventualities to think about for in the present day’s buying and selling.
Bull Situation: Value sustains a bid above 24200+-, initially targets 24395 – 24445 zone.
Bear Situation: Value sustains a proposal under 24200+-, initially targets 24020 – 23905 zone.
PVA Excessive Edge = 25308 PVA Low Edge = 244433 Prior POC = 25203
NQZ
Financial Calendar
Commerce Technique: Our tactical commerce technique will merely stay unaltered…We’ll be versatile to commerce each lengthy and brief facet from Choice Pivot Ranges. Proceed to deal with Bull/Bear Stackers and Premium/Reductions. As at all times, remaining in alignment with dominant intra-day power will increase possibilities of manufacturing profitable trades.
Keep Centered…Non-Biased…Disciplined ALWAYS USE STOPS!
Good Buying and selling…David
“Figuring out just isn’t sufficient, We should APPLY. Prepared just isn’t sufficient, We should DO.” –BR
*****This commerce technique report is disseminated for “schooling solely” and shouldn’t be seen in any method as a suggestion to purchase or promote futures merchandise.”
PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE RESULTS
IMPORTANT NOTICE! No illustration is being made that using this technique or any system or buying and selling methodology will generate earnings. Previous efficiency just isn’t essentially indicative of future outcomes. There may be substantial threat of loss related to buying and selling securities and choices on equities. Solely threat capital must be used to commerce. Buying and selling securities just isn’t appropriate for everybody.
Disclaimer: Futures, Choices, and Forex buying and selling all have giant potential rewards, however in addition they have giant potential threat. You have to pay attention to the dangers and be keen to just accept them as a way to put money into these markets. Don’t commerce with cash you’ll be able to’t afford to lose.
This web site is neither a solicitation nor a proposal to Purchase/Promote futures, choices, or currencies. No illustration is being made that any account will or is more likely to obtain earnings or losses much like these mentioned on this web page. The previous efficiency of any buying and selling system or methodology just isn’t essentially indicative of future outcomes.
CFTC RULE 4.41 –HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN
