Investor sentiment was lifted by India’s Q1 GDP progress of seven.8%, the quickest in 5 quarters, reinforcing the financial system’s resilience. Coverage momentum additionally performed a key function, with the GST Council’s transfer to streamline tax slabs to five% and 18% including readability and fueling optimism throughout cyclical sectors.
Technically, Nifty shaped a bullish candle on the weekly chart, reclaiming the 20 and 50 EMAs, signaling pattern reversal and strengthening momentum. RSI maintained an upward slope, whereas MACD sustained a bullish crossover with an increasing histogram, reinforcing constructive undertones.
Listed below are the important thing elements that may seemingly impression the D-Avenue motion this week:
1) Home knowledge
On the home entrance, August inflation knowledge (September 12) might be intently tracked, together with financial institution credit score and deposit progress and foreign exchange reserves—particularly given the current underperformance of banks.
2) International knowledge
Globally, key U.S. knowledge releases—together with client inflation expectations, PPI, CPI, jobless claims, and client sentiment—might be essential in shaping Fed coverage expectations and influencing flows.3) India-US commerce deal
Moreover, any updates on the India-U.S. commerce deal may present additional help to market sentiment.
4) Technical elements
The index rebounded from a low of 24,400, barely above the earlier swing low of 24,337.5, however continues to consolidate inside a triangle sample marked by decrease highs at 25,153.65 (August 21) and 24,980.75 (September 4).
“A decisive breakout above 25,000 may set off contemporary momentum, taking the index towards 25,250 after which 25,400. On the draw back, the 24,280–24,400 zone provides rapid help, with stronger help at 24,150,” stated Ajit Mishra, SVP-Analysis, at Religare Broking.
5) Crude and bullion
On the commodities entrance, gold rallied on dovish Fed cues, and crude oil firmed amid easing geopolitical tensions and stronger demand alerts.
6) FII motion
FIIs had been internet sellers by way of the week, significantly midsession, unloading equities price roughly Rs 5,667 crore, whereas DIIs absorbed provide with regular inflows, offering an important home cushion, buying equities to the tune of Rs 13,444 crore.
7) Rupee motion
The rupee briefly touched a file low of 88.36/$ on tariff jitters, however well timed RBI intervention contained volatility, stabilizing market sentiment.
(Disclaimer: Suggestions, recommendations, views and opinions given by the consultants are their very own. These don’t symbolize the views of The Financial Occasions)
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