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StockWaves > Market Analysis > Greenback rises towards main friends after US-EU commerce pact
Market Analysis

Greenback rises towards main friends after US-EU commerce pact

StockWaves By StockWaves Last updated: July 29, 2025 6 Min Read
Greenback rises towards main friends after US-EU commerce pact
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By Alun John and Chibuike Oguh

NEW YORK/LONDON (Reuters) -The greenback rose towards the euro and yen on Monday as markets had been buoyed by a commerce settlement between the U.S. and the EU, which introduced some market certainty and averted a worldwide commerce struggle.

U.S. President Donald Trump and European Fee President Ursula von der Leyen reached a framework commerce settlement on Sunday, which offers for an import tariff of 15% on EU items, half the speed Trump had threatened from August 1.

That follows final week’s U.S. settlement with Japan, whereas prime U.S. and Chinese language financial officers resumed talks in Stockholm on Monday, aiming to increase a truce by three months and hold sharply larger tariffs at bay.

“In case you rewind again to early April or Liberation Day, the overarching theme has been promoting US belongings due to uncertainties as a result of new commerce regime,” stated Eugene Epstein, head of structuring for North America at Moneycorp in New Jersey. “I might argue that what you are seeing is a few resemblance of return to normalcy.”

The greenback rose towards the safe-haven Swiss franc, up 1% at 0.80325 francs. It rose towards the Japanese yen, up 0.59% at 148.535.

The euro was final down 1.25% at $1.159125, set for its greatest each day loss since mid-Might, reversing an preliminary knee-jerk rise in Asia commerce as buyers’ focus shifted to what an easing in international commerce tensions meant for the greenback general. 

The greenback tumbled sharply earlier this 12 months, significantly towards the euro, as fears that dramatically larger tariffs on commerce with most of its main companions would harm the U.S. economic system prompted buyers to contemplate shifting out of U.S. belongings. 

U.S. shares had been largely decrease however nonetheless buying and selling close to file highs. The Dow Jones Industrial Common fell 0.3%, the S&P 500 dipped 0.15% and the Nasdaq Composite rose 0.14%. 

Usually, the hole between yields on authorities bonds is a significant component for forex strikes, however at current, the euro is considerably larger than the hole between U.S. and euro zone yields would indicate. 

“If you concentrate on what we anticipated at first of the 12 months, nobody actually thought that the euro was going to be so robust. All of us thought that, particularly submit Liberation Day, the greenback will stay robust,” stated Anthi Tsouvali, multi-asset strategist at UBS Wealth. “We proceed to see the greenback weakening.” 

The euro fell towards the yen and sterling, having hit a one-year excessive on the Japanese forex and a two-year excessive on the pound initially of commerce. 

The greenback strengthened towards the pound, which was 0.67% decrease at $1.33545. 

As issues subside concerning the financial fallout from punishing tariffs, investor consideration is shifting to company earnings and central financial institution conferences in america and Japan within the subsequent few days. 

Each the Fed and the Financial institution of Japan are anticipated to carry charges regular at coverage conferences this week, however merchants will watch subsequent feedback to gauge the timing of the subsequent strikes.

Buyers may even be watching to see Trump’s response to the Fed’s resolution. The two-year notice yield, which generally strikes in line with rate of interest expectations for the Federal Reserve, rose 1.5 foundation factors to 3.932%, from 3.917% late on Friday.

Trump has been placing the Fed beneath heavy stress to make vital charge cuts, and Trump appeared near making an attempt to fireside Powell final week, however backed off with a nod to the market disruption that will seemingly comply with. 

In cryptocurrencies, bitcoin fell 0.52% to $118,205.38. Ethereum declined 0.61% to $3,800.90.

Foreign money              

Descripti RIC Final U.S. Pct YTD Excessive Low

on Shut Chan Pct Bid Bid

Greenback 98.65 97.612 1.08 -9.06 98.68 97.4

Euro/Doll 1.158 1.1738 -1.2 11.95 $1.17 $1.1

Greenback/Ye 148.5 147.66 0.6% -5.6% 148.5 147.

Euro/Yen 172.1 173.35 -0.6 5.48% 173.8 172.

Greenback/Sw 0.803 0.7953 1.01 -11.4 0.803 0.79

Sterling/ 1.335 1.3445 -0.6 6.76% $1.34 $1.3

Greenback/Ca 1.373 1.3697 0.28 -4.48 1.374 1.36

Aussie/Do 0.651 0.6565 -0.7 5.31% $0.65 $0.6

Euro/Swis 0.930 0.933 -0.2 -0.89 0.935 0.93

Euro/Ster 0.867 0.8739 -0.7 4.88% 0.876 0.86

NZ 0.596 0.6016 -0.8 6.65% $0.60 0.59

Greenback/No 10.19 10.147 0.51 -10.2 10.21 10.1

Euro/Norw 11.81 11.921 -0.8 0.42% 11.93 11.8

Greenback/Sw 9.614 9.5035 1.17 -12.7 9.619 9.49

Euro/Swed 11.14 11.164 -0.2 -2.83 11.19 11.1

(Reporting by Chibuike Oguh in New York and Rocky Swift in Tokyo and Alun John in London; Further reporting by Twesha Dikshit and Kevin Buckland; Enhancing by Kevin Liffey, Nick Zieminski, Rod Nickel)

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