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On the lookout for the most popular dividend progress shares to purchase? Right here’s one I feel calls for critical consideration following upbeat buying and selling outcomes on Tuesday (12 August).
Quick-rising dividends
Falling dwelling gross sales have had a devastating impression on some housebuilders’ dividends in current instances. Take Bellway (LSE:BWY) of the FTSE 250 — it froze dividends within the monetary yr to July 2024, at 140p per share. And it slashed them to 54p the yr after.
The excellent news is that Metropolis analysts anticipate industry-wide dividends to rise from right here as homebuyer demand rebounds. At Bellway, they’re anticipating shareholder payouts to develop quickly over the quick to medium time period, as proven under:
| Monetary 12 months Ending July… | Dividend per share | Dividend progress | Dividend yield |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 65.4p | 21% | 2.6% |
| 2026 | 78p | 19% | 3.1% |
| 2027 | 93.9p | 20% | 3.8% |
Newest buying and selling information from the corporate in the present day illustrates why brokers are maybe proper to be so assured.
For the 12 months to 31 July, Bellway’s complete completions rose 14.3% to eight,479 properties, whereas common promoting costs nudged as much as £316,000 from £307,909. Each figures got here in forward of expectations.
Revenues have been up 17% at £2.8bn, whereas the underlying working margin rose 1% to 11%. This led Bellway to foretell “sturdy income progress” for the interval.
Wanting forward, a robust order ebook underpins hopes of additional enchancment in monetary 2026. This consisted of 5,307 properties as of 31 July, up from 5,144 the yr earlier than, and with the next worth of £1.5bn versus £1.4bn beforehand.
Strong forecasts
There are nonetheless dangers to its restoration, in fact. An inflationary spike might curb Financial institution of England price cuts, hitting purchaser affordability. A stagnant economic system and rising unemployment might additionally hit gross sales volumes and promoting costs.
Nevertheless, I imagine the builder can meet these upbeat dividend forecasts, even when market circumstances flip choppier.
For monetary 2026 and 2027, income are tipped to rise 15% and 21%, respectively. This implies predicted dividends are coated 2.4-2.5 instances by projected earnings.
You’ll know that any studying above two instances is claimed to offer a large margin of security.
Moreover, dividend forecasts are supported by the corporate’s enhancing steadiness sheet. It swung to a web money place of £42m as of 31 July from web debt of £10.5m on the similar level in 2024.
Increased completions, moderating construct price inflation, and enhancing capital self-discipline ought to proceed to help money technology going forwards.
An affordable dividend share
Bellway is assured of promoting 9,200 properties this monetary yr, up roughly 450 yr on yr. I imagine the builder’s in good condition to satisfy this goal, supported by additional rate of interest declines and by its sturdy landbank.
There are dangers right here, however I feel that is mirrored by the agency’s low valuation. For each monetary 2026 and 2027, Bellway shares commerce on a sub-1 price-to-earnings progress (PEG) ratio of 0.9 and 0.5, respectively.
I imagine this dividend and progress share’s a fantastic inventory to think about for long-term traders. Over time, I reckon income will surge as a hovering inhabitants drives demand for extra properties.
