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Reading: IT Sector Q2 Outcomes 2025 Preview: Trump tariffs, weak macro to weigh on earnings; midcap IT companies to outperform
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StockWaves > Market Analysis > IT Sector Q2 Outcomes 2025 Preview: Trump tariffs, weak macro to weigh on earnings; midcap IT companies to outperform
Market Analysis

IT Sector Q2 Outcomes 2025 Preview: Trump tariffs, weak macro to weigh on earnings; midcap IT companies to outperform

StockWaves By StockWaves Last updated: October 4, 2025 6 Min Read
IT Sector Q2 Outcomes 2025 Preview: Trump tariffs, weak macro to weigh on earnings; midcap IT companies to outperform
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Contents
TCS Q2 PreviewInfosys Q2 PreviewHCL Applied sciences Q2 PreviewWipro Q2 PreviewTier-2 IT Sector Q2 Outcomes Preview

The Indian IT providers sector will kick off the September quarter earnings season subsequent week, beginning with Tata Consultancy Providers (TCS). The July–September quarter remained difficult, marked by subdued discretionary spending, elongated decision-making cycles, cautious consumer sentiment amid macroeconomic uncertainty, and disruption from AI-driven expertise shifts. The demand surroundings has neither improved nor worsened.

IT sector Q2 outcomes are anticipated to remain muted after Q1 was impacted by tariff-related uncertainty. The broader macro backdrop stays weak, additional weighed down by the latest H1B visa payment hike introduced by US President Donald Trump.

With no materials change in working circumstances, analysts anticipate commentary from IT firms to stay cautious. The development of mid-tier companies outperforming large-cap gamers is prone to proceed.

Additionally Learn | Muted Q2FY26 forward for IT firms; mid-caps seen outperforming large-caps

Nuvama Institutional Equities expects its protection universe to report fixed forex QoQ development within the vary of -0.5% to +6%. Motilal Oswal Monetary Providers (MOFSL) echoes this view, noting that purchasers, grappling with macro and tariff uncertainty, are reluctant to commit sizeable budgets to new initiatives. MOFSL expects QoQ CC income development of 0.3–2.4% for large-caps, whereas mid-caps are projected to put up development between -0.5% and 6.0%.

For Q2FY26, combination income for the protection universe is anticipated to develop 6.0% YoY, with EBIT and PAT prone to rise 5.2% and 5.5% YoY, respectively (in INR phrases).

Right here’s a preview of the IT sector Q2 outcomes:

TCS Q2 Preview

TCS, India’s largest software program providers exporter, is anticipated to report 2.1% QoQ development in income to ₹64,738 crore in Q2FY26. In USD phrases, income is estimated to rise 0.2% QoQ to $7,433 million, in response to Nuvama. The India enterprise of TCS is prone to stay flat, with the BSNL deal ramp-down accomplished in Q1.

Web revenue is projected to extend 2.3% QoQ to ₹13,058 crore. EBIT is estimated to develop 2.9% QoQ, with margins anticipated to develop by 20 bps to 24.7%, regardless of one month of wage hike affect.

Infosys Q2 Preview

Infosys’ income is anticipated to develop 1.8% QoQ in fixed forex and a pair of.1% QoQ in USD phrases, with 10–15 bps contribution from acquisitions. EBIT margin is probably going to enhance by round 20 bps QoQ, aided by working leverage and forex advantages. Infosys is anticipated to retain its FY26 income development steering of 1–3% CC YoY (together with 0.4% inorganic) and margin steering of 20–22%.

Additionally Learn | Banks prone to report tender Q2 efficiency amid NIM pressures and better credit score prices: Axis Securities

HCL Applied sciences Q2 Preview

HCL Tech is anticipated to ship 1.5% QoQ income development in CC phrases and 1.7% QoQ in USD phrases, led by Merchandise & Platforms (+1.5% QoQ) and Providers (+1.7% QoQ). EBIT margin is projected to develop 70 bps QoQ to 17% from 16.3% in Q1, as restructuring bills ease, in response to Nuvama.

HCL Applied sciences’ income is prone to rise 3.5% QoQ to ₹31,396 crore. Web revenue might develop 11.3% QoQ to ₹4,275 crore, whereas EBIT is estimated to extend 8.1% QoQ to ₹5,342 crore.

Wipro Q2 Preview

Wipro’s IT Providers income is anticipated to develop 0.1% QoQ in CC phrases and 0.2% QoQ in USD phrases, close to the midpoint of its steering. Margins are prone to contract 40 bps QoQ to 16.9%. For Q3FY26, Wipro is anticipated to information for 0–2% CC QoQ income development, supported by the ramp-up of the Phoenix deal.

Tier-2 IT Sector Q2 Outcomes Preview

Tier-2 IT firms are anticipated to ship stronger development in Q2, with Coforge main the pack at 6% QoQ in fixed forex, adopted by Persistent Methods (3.7%), Hexaware Applied sciences (3.2%), LTIMindtree (1.9%) and Mphasis (1.3%), in response to Nuvama.

Amongst ER&D gamers, development is prone to stay modest. L&T Expertise Providers is anticipated to put up 1.5% QoQ development, whereas Cyient might even see a muted 0.3% rise, weighed down by weak spot within the Auto vertical.

Within the smallcap phase, Firstsource is anticipated to ship a wholesome 2.2% QoQ development in CC phrases. Birlasoft (-0.5%) and Zensar Applied sciences (-0.1%) are prone to be the one names reporting sequential declines this quarter. Foreign money affect is anticipated to stay restricted within the vary of -10 bps to +30 bps QoQ, Nuvama famous.

Disclaimer: The views and proposals made above are these of particular person analysts or broking firms, and never of Mint. We advise traders to verify with licensed consultants earlier than making any funding selections.

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