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Reading: McDonald’s Q1 Earnings Preview: Indicators of enchancment or extra challenges forward?
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StockWaves > Global Markets > McDonald’s Q1 Earnings Preview: Indicators of enchancment or extra challenges forward?
Global Markets

McDonald’s Q1 Earnings Preview: Indicators of enchancment or extra challenges forward?

StockWaves By StockWaves Last updated: April 29, 2025 4 Min Read
McDonald’s Q1 Earnings Preview: Indicators of enchancment or extra challenges forward?
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Contents
Weak OutlookFlat Gross sales

McDonald’s Company (NYSE: MCD) is actively working to get better from the latest meals contamination incident, which has harm gross sales and dealt a blow to its popularity. The main focus is on driving buyer visitors and rising gross sales, because the affected franchises expertise a major hunch. For the corporate, the primary half of 2024 was equally difficult, prompting measures just like the McValue program, menu improvements, and advertising and marketing campaigns.

Final month, shares of the fast-food big climbed to a brand new excessive of $321.29, after recovering from the weak point skilled within the early weeks of the yr. They’ve gained 6.6% prior to now six months. McDonald’s is a dividend aristocrat appreciated by earnings traders, having persistently hiked the dividend for greater than 4 a long time and providing a bigger-than-average yield. With wholesome money flows and a loyal buyer base, the corporate affords a superb funding possibility.

Weak Outlook

As per estimates, the latest weak point in earnings and income efficiency continued within the early months of fiscal 2025, reflecting lingering security considerations surrounding McDonald’s merchandise. On common, analysts following the enterprise forecast earnings of $2.67 per share for the primary quarter, which is broadly in step with the revenue generated within the prior-year quarter. The consensus income forecast is $6.13 billion, representing a 1% decline from the year-ago quarter. The report is slated for launch on Thursday, Might 1, at 7:00 am ET.

McDonald’s CEO Chris Kempczinski mentioned on the This autumn 2024 earnings name, “As we transition into 2025, a number of components give me confidence that our efficiency will return to correct type over the subsequent a number of quarters. First, we have now the correct technique: Accelerating the Arches. Our MCD development pillars nonetheless supply vital development alternatives, and I’m happy with the 2025 market plans, significantly their stability of worth and full-margin meals innovation. Second, the U.S. meals security challenge is now largely behind us, and we count on to have totally recovered by the start of Q2.”

Flat Gross sales

McDonald’s internet earnings slid 1% YoY to $2 billion within the fourth quarter of 2024, whereas earnings per share remained unchanged at $2.80. On an adjusted foundation, earnings declined 4% yearly to $2.83 per share. At $6.4 billion, income was flat in comparison with the identical interval a yr in the past, whereas international comparable gross sales elevated 0.4%. Income and revenue each missed estimates, after beating within the prior quarter. On the finish of the quarter, the corporate had round 175 million loyalty program customers who had been lively prior to now 90 days throughout 60 markets.

Comparable gross sales within the US declined in the latest quarter, reflecting the affect of the meals security incident. The corporate was pressured to recall the utilization of silvered onions in burgers after a number of clients fell in poor health and one individual died from an E. coli outbreak linked to its Quarter Pounders. Whereas gross sales benefitted from the launch of value-meal final yr, the momentum waned after the meals security incident.

MCD’s final closing worth is way greater than its 52-week common worth of $287.37. The inventory traded barely decrease in early buying and selling on Monday.

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