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Reading: Oil costs fall with anticipated low demand, upcoming provide increase
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StockWaves > Market Analysis > Oil costs fall with anticipated low demand, upcoming provide increase
Market Analysis

Oil costs fall with anticipated low demand, upcoming provide increase

StockWaves By StockWaves Last updated: August 30, 2025 4 Min Read
Oil costs fall with anticipated low demand, upcoming provide increase
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HOUSTON (Reuters) -Oil costs fell on Friday as merchants regarded towards weaker demand within the U.S., the world’s largest oil market, and a lift in provide this autumn from OPEC and its allies.

Brent crude futures for October supply, which can expire on Friday, had been down 49 cents, or 0.71%, at $68.13 a barrel by 12:55 p.m. CDT (1755 GMT), whereas the extra energetic contract for November was down 57 cents, or 0.84%, at $67.41.

West Texas Intermediate crude futures had been 60 cents, or 0.93%, decrease at $63.99.

The market was partially shifting its focus towards subsequent week’s OPEC assembly, stated Tamas Varga, analyst at PVM Oil Associates.

Crude output has elevated from the Group of the Petroleum Exporting International locations and its allies, referred to as OPEC , because the group has accelerated output hikes to regain market share, elevating the provision outlook and weighing on world oil costs.

“Total, the underside line is we will see a bounce in provide feeding right into a lackluster demand market,” stated Andrew Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates.

The U.S. summer season driving season ends on Monday’s Labor Day vacation, signalling the tip of the very best demand interval in america, which is the most important gasoline market.

“The market is starting to marvel what impact the tariffs may need on the financial outlook subsequent yr,” Lipow stated, referring to tariffs imposed by the administration of President Donald Trump on U.S. imports from many buying and selling companions.

Crude provide will increase haven’t made their approach into the U.S. market but, elevating the chance provide and demand can be in a tighter stability, stated Phil Flynn, senior analyst with Value Futures Group.

“The pessimism about demand, I am simply not seeing it,” Flynn stated. “Provide from OPEC is meant to extend, however we’re not seeing it within the U.S. I feel issues are going to remain tight.”

Costs rose earlier within the week on account of Ukrainian assaults on Russian oil export terminals, however reviews of talks between Ukraine’s European allies a few attainable ceasefire helped tamp down costs, Flynn stated.

U.S. crude inventories for the week ending August 22 confirmed higher-than-expected attracts, implying late-summer demand was nonetheless agency, notably in industrial and freight-related sectors, analyst Ole Hvalbye at SEB financial institution stated in a be aware. [EIA/S]

Buyers are additionally waiting for India’s response to stress from america to cease shopping for Russian oil, after Trump doubled tariffs on imports from India to as a lot as 50% on Wednesday.

To date, India has defied the U.S. and Russian oil exports to India are set to rise in September, merchants stated.

“The prevalent view is that Russian sanctions should not forthcoming, and India will ignore U.S. sanction threats and proceed shopping for Russian crude oil at closely discounted costs,” PVM’s Varga stated.

(Reporting by Erwin Seba in Houston, Seher Dareen in London, Yuka Obayashi and Sudarshan Varadhan; Modifying by Kirsten Donovan, Jan Harvey and Nia Williams)

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