A U.S. flag flutters close to a ship because it’s containers are unloaded on the Port of Los Angeles, in San Pedro, California, U.S., Could 1, 2025.
Mike Blake | Reuters
The July container volumes for the Port of Los Angeles inform the story of the Trump tariff impacts.
The front-loading of Chinese language items forward of the tariff deadline pushed container volumes on the Port of Los Angeles to ranges it has by no means seen in its 117-year historical past. The port processed 1,019,837 twenty-foot equal items, or TEUs, in July. Imports got here in at 543,728,000 TEUs, additionally a report.
“Shippers have been frontloading their cargo for months to get forward of tariffs and up to date exercise at America’s prime port actually tells that story,” mentioned Port of Los Angeles Government Director Gene Seroka. “Port terminals in July had been jam-packed with ships loaded with cargo — processed with none delay, a lot to the credit score of our devoted longshore employees, terminal and rail operators, truckers and provide chain companions.”
However the stage of tariffs, at a minimal of 30%, did not enable corporations to import in full orders, in accordance with Mike Brief, president of world forwarding at C.H. Robinson.
“This yr’s peak season began about two to 3 months sooner than regular,” mentioned Brief. “We began to see it decelerate a month or two earlier than it will usually finish, which simply began.”
He added: “We’ve got been in peak season for a minimum of three to 4 months at this level. It isn’t as sturdy as we’d usually see.”
The Trump administration introduced its preliminary tariffs on April 2, however then prolonged deadlines to permit time for additional negotiations, first to July 9 after which to Aug. 1. One other reprieve for prime tariffs on Chinese language items was granted on Monday, and can expire in mid-November.
In keeping with Brief, retail is the No. 1 space experiencing a pullback. Decrease-cost objects are one other space, whereas the sectors which have continued to be more healthy had been the higher-value tech and health-care objects, Brief mentioned.
Trucking and rail corporations make their cash transferring the containers. Much less quantity means much less projected income.
In an advisory observe to shoppers, HLS Group wrote, the common spot freight charges from Shanghai to the U.S. have dropped nearly 60% from the height in early June.
“Nevertheless, the dramatic spot fee decline has slowed in August attributable to stronger capability administration by carriers, though it appears restricted and never sufficient to cease the downward market. September could be the busiest time for the remainder of the yr, with growing demand for the vacation season, which is able to push up spot charges,” mentioned the advisory.
Alan Baer, CEO of OL USA, advised CNBC the dearth of any actual peak season supplies clear perception into the general impression of tariffs.
“Ocean spot charges comply with quantity, up or down, and quantity follows shopper habits coupled with risk-averse habits by importers,” mentioned Baer. “Small- to medium-sized importers are being harm as tariff ranges take away some, if not all, of their gross margins.”
Utilizing commerce information from Panjiva, CNBC noticed July exports included fridges from Samsung, housewares from Walmart, quite a few containers full of Christmas and Halloween objects for Residence Depot, backpacks from Capri’s Michael Kors, and furnishings from IKEA and Bob’s Low cost Furnishings.
Peak season is over
The surge of containers has since dropped off, in accordance with Marine Trade, which screens the incoming vessels into the ports of Los Angeles and Lengthy Seashore. Container ships on the best way have began to dip, and the forecast anticipates the drop-off will proceed over the subsequent one to 2 weeks.
“Within the very quick time period, solely 10 container ships are scheduled to reach in LA or LB subsequent 3 days, a giant 7 fewer than the ‘regular,'” wrote J. Kipling “Kip” Louttit, government director of Marine Trade of Southern California and Vessel Visitors Service.
For the week ended Aug. 7, 37 container ships arrived, which is three fewer than the standard tempo, in accordance with Marine Trade. The Port Optimizer for the Port of Los Angeles exhibits 16 scheduled vessels for the week of Aug. 24-30, a 16% lower from the earlier week.

