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Reading: Tata Motors shares down 42% from peak: Do you have to purchase the dip on this auto main’s inventory?
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StockWaves > Financial News > Tata Motors shares down 42% from peak: Do you have to purchase the dip on this auto main’s inventory?
Financial News

Tata Motors shares down 42% from peak: Do you have to purchase the dip on this auto main’s inventory?

StockWaves By StockWaves Last updated: July 29, 2025 8 Min Read
Tata Motors shares down 42% from peak: Do you have to purchase the dip on this auto main’s inventory?
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Contents
Stay OccasionsJLR in focus as tariffs easeWarning prevails?
As soon as a bellwether of India’s auto rally, Tata Motors now finds itself buying and selling at a steep 42% low cost to its report excessive. After a bruising yr of tariff shocks, margin pressures, and waning momentum, the inventory is testing investor persistence, and tempting discount hunters. Is that this stoop a price lure or a uncommon shopping for alternative in one in every of India’s most storied automakers?

From a technical standpoint, Tata Motors shares are buying and selling at Rs 682.30, beneath seven of their eight key easy shifting averages (SMA), apart from the 100-day SMA. The Relative Energy Index (RSI) is hovering at 49.9, signalling a scarcity of directional conviction, whereas the MACD stays beneath the centre line at -1.0.

Sudeep Shah, Head of Technical and Derivatives Analysis at SBI Securities, famous that “the inventory has been shifting in a 665–710 vary since sixteenth June. Though the Auto index is outperforming the Nifty index, this inventory has been a laggard.” He mentioned, “The RSI has been shifting within the 40–60 vary, supporting the sideways motion with the inventory clearly missing momentum. The ADX line is flat which additional reinforces the shortage of momentum within the inventory.”

Shah mentioned that “a decisive breakout on both facet of the vary can present cues in regards to the future course of the inventory.” He pointed to Rs 665 as a key help degree and Rs 710 as instant resistance. “Break beneath 665, can result in value shifting in the direction of 635, the place its prior swing low is positioned… Break above 710, can result in value shifting in the direction of 735–740 zones, the place its 200 DEMA is positioned presently. Momentum is unlikely except 735–740 is efficiently taken out on the upside.”

Including to the technical image, Kunal Kamble, Senior Technical Analysis Analyst at Bonanza, noticed that “since June 18, 2025, Tata Motors has been buying and selling inside a well-defined vary of Rs 665–Rs 700, suggesting a consolidation section after a previous uptrend.” He mentioned, “The 9 & 21 EMAs are flattening, reflecting the absence of a powerful directional development. The RSI buying and selling beneath 50 suggests a scarcity of momentum… The DMI (Directional Motion Index) stays compressed, indicating low development power.”

Stay Occasions


Kamble mentioned “a decisive breakout above Rs 700 may set off a transfer towards Rs 740, whereas a breakdown beneath Rs 665 might lead the inventory to retest help at Rs 635.” However for now, “it’s prudent to stay on the sidelines and look forward to volume-supported affirmation of a breakout or breakdown.”Anuj Gupta, Director at Ya Wealth, mentioned, “Broadly the development of Tata Motors is sideways as it’s buying and selling between the help of 600 ranges and resistance of 750 ranges.”Gupta mentioned, “For a really brief time period it has help at 670 ranges and subsequent help at 640 ranges. Resistance at 710 and powerful resistance at 750 ranges.” He expects “brief time period development reversal on this inventory,” and mentioned, “Buyers might begin investments within the Tata Motors round 640 to 670 vary. We expect it could take a look at 720 to 750 ranges within the subsequent 3 to 4 months. Maintain help ranges as stoploss ranges.”

JLR in focus as tariffs ease

Tata Motors shares rose 2% on Monday following an announcement that the U.S. and European Union had reached a deal to avert a significant tariff escalation on EU exports, lowering automotive tariffs to fifteen% from a possible 30% hike. The brand new settlement replaces a 25% responsibility on EU auto exports with a baseline 15% charge, aligning it with the speed set for Japan.

Anubhav Sangal, Senior Analysis Analyst at Bonanza, mentioned the usEU tariff settlement is “anticipated to help quantity development for European vehicle exporters, notably Jaguar Land Rover (JLR), the luxurious car arm of Tata Motors.” He mentioned that “with the brand new deal lowering tariffs on car exports from Slovakia to the US from 27.5% to fifteen%, key fashions such because the Defender which is manufactured in Slovakia will now take pleasure in improved price competitiveness in a essential market.”

JLR had paused U.S.-bound shipments from its Slovakian plant in April resulting from larger tariffs, however resumed them in Could. The North American market accounts for roughly 32% of JLR’s whole volumes.

Nevertheless, Sangal additionally flagged considerations. “JLR trimmed its FY26 margin steering to five–7% (from earlier 10% steering), primarily resulting from uncertainties over US tariffs.” He mentioned, “The corporate is presently going through a number of headwinds, like rising emission compliance and guarantee prices in FY25, together with forex headwinds from USD depreciation towards GBP.”

At a gaggle degree, Tata Motors reported a 51% fall in consolidated internet revenue at Rs 8,470 crore in This autumn FY25, whereas income remained flat at Rs 1.19 lakh crore. EBITDA fell 4% to Rs 16,700 crore, with EBITDA margins slipping 60 foundation factors to 14%. For a similar interval, JLR posted £875 million in revenue earlier than tax, up from £661 million in This autumn FY24, aided by larger volumes and decrease depreciation and amortisation.

Warning prevails?

Regardless of Monday’s bounce, analysts stay cautious within the close to time period. Kamble mentioned, “At this stage, it will be untimely to name a development reversal in Tata Motors, because the inventory seems to be within the midst of a corrective wave.” He warned that “the development would solely shift decisively if the inventory manages to shut above the swing excessive of Rs 745… Till that occurs, bearish stress stays intact.”

Shah of SBI Securities echoed the sentiment, and mentioned, “At present there are not any development reversal indicators seen. The inventory is shifting in a good vary, forming skinny physique candles alongside the best way. The momentum indicators and oscillators are additional reinforcing the sideways motion within the inventory.”

Even because the inventory stays susceptible to additional volatility, Anuj Gupta sees some trigger for optimism. “Now in India good monsoon might help the auto inventory the place Tata Motors might get good response resulting from availability in EVs section. Upcoming pageant season can even help the inventory’s value.”

For now, Tata Motors stays range-bound and directionless, with near-term triggers hinging on sustained enhancements in JLR’s outlook and a breakout above key technical ranges.

Additionally learn | Reliance Energy shares down 15% in a month as ED probe drags. Can the inventory reclaim Rs 70 amid volatility?

(Disclaimer: Suggestions, solutions, views and opinions given by the consultants are their very own. These don’t symbolize the views of the Financial Occasions)

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