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Reading: Latam markets bounce as Mexican peso leads the cost amid U.S. tariff speculations
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StockWaves > Market Analysis > Latam markets bounce as Mexican peso leads the cost amid U.S. tariff speculations
Market Analysis

Latam markets bounce as Mexican peso leads the cost amid U.S. tariff speculations

StockWaves By StockWaves Last updated: January 7, 2025 5 Min Read
Latam markets bounce as Mexican peso leads the cost amid U.S. tariff speculations
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* Mexico FX, shares, set for finest day since November * Argentina nation danger index falls * Colombian markets closed * MSCI Latam shares index up 2%, FX index up 1% (Updates to mid-session buying and selling) By Lisa Pauline Mattackal and Pranav Kashyap Jan 6 (Reuters) – Latin American markets jumped on Monday, with the Mexican peso on the forefront of a regional rally following a report that the U.S. tariffs below President-elect Donald Trump may very well be decrease than feared. Based on the Washington Publish, Trump’s crew is contemplating focused tariffs that will focus solely on important imports from all international locations. Though Trump disputed these claims on Fact Social, the suggestion his strikes could be much less extreme than threatened was sufficient to invigorate the markets. This information propelled the Mexican peso up 1.39% towards the greenback, whereas the nation’s important inventory index additionally leaped as a lot as 1.7%, buoyed by optimistic sentiment. Each have been on observe for his or her finest day since November. Different Latin American markets jumped because the U.S. greenback slid after the report, with MSCI’s gauge of regional currencies up 1% on the highest in additional than two weeks. An index of Latin American shares rose practically 2%, on tempo for its finest day since August. “If we have realized something through the years, it is that Trump is unpredictable. He loves shaking up markets, however the remaining outcomes are sometimes much less dramatic than his preliminary bulletins,” stated ING analysts in a notice. The specter of Trump’s proposed 25% tariffs on Mexican and Canadian imports, together with a steep 60% tax on Chinese language items, had beforehand solid a shadow over rising market currencies. The Mexican peso suffered its largest annual decline since 2008. Nevertheless, the potential for decrease tariffs now affords a glimmer of hope. The greenback’s run to two-year peaks over the previous month, resulting from issues concerning the potential inflationary affect of Trump’s insurance policies and expectations for fewer U.S. rate of interest cuts, has additionally weighed closely. Scotiabank’s chief FX strategist, Shaun Osborne, stated information of extra average tariffs might “take a number of the steam out of the greenback’s appreciation development.” Different EM currencies rose, with the South African rand leaping practically 1% Brazil’s authorities stated in an announcement that Indonesia is formally becoming a member of BRICS as a full member. Elsewhere, merchants stated Argentina’s nation danger index, which measures the yield unfold on its bonds versus U.S. debt, fell below the 600-basis-point barrier for first time since 2018. Argentina’s inventory index jumped 2.36% to a document excessive. Inventory indexes in Brazil and Peru rose 1.1% and 1.2%, respectively. Brazil’s actual rose 1.1% and the Chilean peso was up 0.5%. Venezuela’s authorities stated it’ll break diplomatic relations with Paraguay and take away its diplomats from the South American nation. HIGHLIGHTS ** Chile central financial institution mulled conserving charges unchanged in December, minutes present ** Mexico s/a shopper confidence at 47.1 in December Key Latin American inventory indexes and currencies: Equities Newest Each day % change MSCI Rising Markets 1080.47 0.68 MSCI LatAm 1879.45 2 Brazil Bovespa 119886.07 1.14 Mexico IPC 49409.07 0.92 Chile IPSA 6780.66 1.19 Argentina MerVal 2793412.92 2.36 Colombia COLCAP 1396.23 -0.24 Currencies Newest Each day % change Brazil actual 6.1088 1.14 Mexico peso 20.3314 1.39 Chile peso 1010.94 0.51 Colombia peso 4339 0.28 Peru sol 3.76 0.19 Argentina peso 1,034.5 -0.15 (interbank) Argentina peso 1,185.0 1.66 (parallel) (Reporting by Lisa Mattackal in Bengaluru; Enhancing by Angus MacSwan and Cynthia Osterman)

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