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StockWaves > Market Analysis > When Unravelling Begins
Market Analysis

When Unravelling Begins

StockWaves By StockWaves Last updated: November 21, 2025 19 Min Read
When Unravelling Begins
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Contents
Energy & DebtIT & Information……And AIMarket WrapDifferent Headlines

In 1979, a civil engineer in Uttar Pradesh determined to formally set up his enterprise after taking on contracting work for almost twenty years. Over the following two and half many years, the engineer and his two sons quickly expanded their enterprise and have become the largest conglomerate rising out of the northern state that isn’t actually identified for, properly, enterprise.

They arrange cement factories, constructed hydropower dams and coal-fired electrical energy crops, opened inns, laid highways, constructed hospitals and colleges, acquired huge swathes of land to assemble residences and villas, and even gained worldwide fame by internet hosting India’s first and solely Components One race. 

Should you nonetheless haven’t guessed it, we’re speaking about Jaiprakash Gaur, the engineer who based the Jaypee Group. Gaur is now 94 years previous and lengthy retired. However he wouldn’t have wished to go issues the best way they’ve gone over the previous decade. The enterprise empire that he constructed has unraveled. Jaypee’s cement crops, hospitals, energy crops, actual property all offered to totally different corporations as they struggled to repay their money owed that they had taken as much as construct their empire. 

And now, Jaypee’s crown jewel is ready to be offered and Gaur’s elder son and inheritor obvious, Manoj, is cooling his heels behind bars. This week, billionaire Gautam Adani’s eponymous conglomerate edged out mining and metals tycoon Anil Agarwal’s Vedanta in a high-stakes bidding warfare for the Jaypee Group’s flagship firm Jaiprakash Associates.

The bidding warfare was a part of the insolvency proceedings for Jaiprakash Associates, which owes Rs 55,000 crore of debt to lenders. On provide had been Jaypee’s remaining cement crops, energy initiatives, and another property. A few half-dozen corporations entered the fray—Adani, Vedanta, Dalmia Bharat, Jindal Energy, PNC Infratech, and Manoj Gaur himself.

After months of wrangling, the collectors voted for Adani Enterprises, though Vedanta’s provide was bigger on paper.  The explanation? Adani’s bid of roughly Rs 13,500 crore included extra money upfront and a quicker payout inside a few years whereas Vedanta’s increased Rs 17,000 crore proposal stretched over 5 lengthy years, in response to media studies. 

In the meantime, the Enforcement Directorate arrested Manoj Gaur final week and a court docket despatched him to custody this week. Gaur, who tried a last-ditch gambit with a settlement provide of round Rs 18,000 crore to reclaim his household’s empire earlier than withdrawing it, was arrested over allegations that he masterminded a Rs 14,599-crore fraud.

The arrest was associated to a different Jaypee Group enterprise—actual property. The group’s sprawling Jaypee Want City township in Noida has became a ghost city of half-constructed towers over the previous decade, leaving 1000’s of homebuyers within the lurch. Whereas the township is now being completed by Suraksha Group after taking it over by means of a separate insolvency course of, the ED now alleges that funds collected from homebuyers had been diverted to different entities – from a bunch belief to the corporate’s hospital and even the sports activities enterprise behind its Components 1 racetrack.

So, what’s subsequent? For all sensible functions, the Jaypee Group is all however completed. It will likely be near-impossible for the Gaurs to come back again from this and rebuild their empire. 

As for Adani, its proposal will now go to the Nationwide Firm Legislation Tribunal for approval. When it sails by means of, this deal will mark one other huge win for India’s second-richest man. It is not going to solely increase his Ambuja-ACC cement operations, which is already the second-biggest in India after Aditya Birla Group’s UltraTech, but in addition his different infrastructure companies.

 

 

Energy & Debt

 

Manoj Gaur will not be the one once-mighty businessman whose fortunes have circled. One other one is Anil Ambani, the youthful son of Dhirubhai Ambani and brother of India’s richest man, Mukesh Ambani.

Gaur and Anil Ambani share a number of similarities. Each inherited giant companies from their father and expanded them additional. Each operated principally in infrastructure companies. Each relied totally on debt to energy their plans. And when the going bought robust, each did not return their loans and ended up promoting a number of property.

Anil Ambani as soon as led an empire that included Reliance Energy, Reliance Infrastructure, Reliance Communications, and Reliance Capital. Over time, lots of his companies have been both acquired by different corporations or are languishing. And he himself is dealing with a number of authorized and regulatory probes. This week, his issues compounded.

The Enforcement Directorate froze properties linked to corporations of the Reliance Anil Ambani Group value Rs 1,452 crore, or about $164 million, as a part of a money-laundering probe. This comes after the monetary crime-fighting company connected property value Rs 7,500 crore ($853 million) in early November. These properties embody 132 acres of land inside the Dhirubhai Ambani Information Metropolis in Navi Mumbai, Ambani’s home in Mumbai’s Pali Hill, a Reliance Centre property in Delhi, and different properties in Delhi, Noida, Ghaziabad, Mumbai, Pune, Thane, Hyderabad, and Chennai.

General, the ED has now clamped down on over $1 billion value of Ambani’s properties.

The most recent seizures had been made in a case involving alleged diversion and laundering of public funds by Reliance House Finance Ltd and Reliance Industrial Finance Ltd. The earlier seizures associated to instances involving Reliance Communications over the alleged diversion of loans taken from YES Financial institution between 2017 and 2019.

The ED alleges that Reliance Communications and its group corporations diverted greater than Rs 13,600 crore. It mentioned that loans taken by one entity from one financial institution had been utilized for compensation of loans taken by different entities from different banks, switch to associated events, and investments in mutual funds. “This was in contravention to the phrases and situations of the sanction letter of the loans,” the company mentioned.

Reliance Communications, which was as soon as considered one of India’s largest telecom operators and was admitted into insolvency in 2019, can also be dealing with a separate probe from the Critical Fraud Investigation Workplace.

On its half, Reliance Communications says it’s cooperating with the authorities. The group additionally says that the probes into Reliance Communications received’t affect Reliance Infrastructure and Reliance Energy. Nonetheless, Anil Ambani is unlikely to get out of this mess simply. And that can definitely have an effect on his remaining companies.

 

IT & Information…

 

Transferring on from failed companies of the previous to the brand new and thrilling companies of the longer term, India’s greatest IT firm is transferring full throttle into the factitious intelligence and knowledge centre enviornment.

Final month, whereas saying its quarterly outcomes, Tata Consultancy Providers had revealed its plans to arrange a brand new entity to construct AI-ready knowledge centres with a capability of 1-gigawatt in India. This plan, it mentioned, would price as a lot as $6-7 billion, and assist it develop into “the world’s largest AI-led know-how companies firm”.

On the time, critics mentioned the bold plan had restricted overlaps with its core IT companies firm and that it might put strain on the corporate and its inventory. However Tata Group firm stays undeterred. 

This week, TCS introduced the primary concrete step in attaining these bold targets. It mentioned it’s forming a Rs 18,000 crore (about $2 billion) three way partnership with American personal fairness agency TPG to develop AI knowledge centres. 

TPG will make investments as much as $1 billion over the following few years and get a stake of as much as 49%. TCS will contribute the remaining and maintain 51% of the JV, referred to as HyperVault AI Information Centre. The JV can even increase $4.5-5 billion by means of debt, TCS mentioned. 

To make sure, TCS hasn’t but provided any particulars on the quantity or location of the deliberate knowledge centres. However the fast formation of the JV does spotlight its seriousness. And, after all, TCS isn’t alone in organising knowledge centres in India. 

Mukesh Ambani-led Reliance Industries plans to arrange a 1-GW AI knowledge centre in Andhra Pradesh. Reliance is already constructing an equally giant knowledge centre in Jamnagar, the place it already operates a large refinery. World tech giants reminiscent of Microsoft and Amazon are investing billions into constructing knowledge centres in India. And Google final month introduced a $15-billion funding over 5 years to create an AI knowledge centre in Andhra Pradesh. 

So, it’s probably not a shock that TCS is transferring ahead with its knowledge centre plans. Will it have an effect on the corporate’s efficiency and its inventory? It definitely will. All we hope is it impacts the corporate and its inventory positively!

 

…And AI

 

Staying on the earth of know-how, the worldwide poster youngster of AI—chipmaker Nvidia—has been in information for extra causes than one for the previous few days whilst a debate rages on an AI bubble. It introduced its quarterly earnings this week, disclosed investments in different corporations, and at the very least two main traders offered their Nvidia inventory in current days.

The chipmaker’s income throughout the three-month interval led to October surged 62% from a yr earlier to about $57 billion, exceeding Wall Road expectations. It mentioned it had $500 billion in bookings for its superior chips by means of 2026 and brushed apart issues of an AI bubble and its comparability with the dotcom increase and bust 25 years in the past.

“There’s been quite a lot of discuss an AI bubble. From our vantage level, we see one thing very totally different,” Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang mentioned on a name with analysts. “We’re in all places from cloud to on-premise to robotic techniques, edge gadgets, PCs, you title it. One structure. Issues simply work. It’s unbelievable.”

Huang isn’t flawed. Nvidia is, certainly, in all places. That’s the explanation its shares have soared in recent times and it’s now the world’s most useful firm with a market cap of $4.4 trillion at the moment. And its newest outcomes ship a transparent message to skeptics: this AI increase has actual substance behind it. 

However then, it makes us surprise why are some marquee traders promoting Nvidia? 

Japanese tech investor SoftBank disclosed final week that it had offered Nvidia shares value almost $5.8 billion within the earlier quarter. PayPal founder and well-known American investor Peter Thiel’s hedge fund disclosed this week that it had offered all of its 537,742 shares within the chipmaker final quarter, which might have been valued round $100 million at the moment.

And Nvidia CEO Huang himself has been promoting the corporate’s shares! Information studies this week mentioned he offered shares value $13 million “per day” for a number of months, incomes almost $1 billion.

Nvidia can also be making huge investments in different AI and tech corporations. This week, it mentioned it will make investments $10 billion into Anthropic alongside Microsoft’s $5-billion funding in a deal that valued the AI startup almost $350 billion.

Earlier this month, Nvidia introduced investing $6 billion in Elon Musk’s xAI whereas final month it mentioned it will put $6.6 billion into ChatGPT creator OpenAI. It has additionally invested in different AI companies like Cohere, Lambda and CoreWeave. General, Nvidia is estimated to have invested virtually $53 billion in AI companies between 2020 and 2025, in response to media studies.

Whereas Nvidia might have shut down critics for now, one other tech firm that made a large guess on AI and cloud computing seems to be unravelling. Oracle Corp, as soon as identified for its databases, had surged 36% on September 10 after reporting sturdy demand, gaining $244 billion on a single day to hit $922 billion in market cap. However it has misplaced most of these features since then and now instructions a market worth of round $600 billion as traders fear about its huge $104 billion debt burden and its plans to borrow one other $38 billion to fund its AI infrastructure.

Whether or not Nvidia will go the Oracle means appears unlikely. For now. The chipmaker has thus far proven it may journey the AI wave. However then, who can predict future!

 

Market Wrap

 

India’s inventory markets bounced again this week, because the lifting of the US authorities’s shutdown boosted IT and pharmaceutical shares and as improved company earnings buoyed sentiment.

Each the Nifty 50 and the BSE Sensex gained about 1.6% this week. The small-caps and mid-caps rose about 1% and 1.5%, respectively. All 16 main sectors rose for the week. The IT index gained 3.4% for the week whereas the pharma index corporations rose 2.9%. Each sectors get a major a part of their income from the US.

Asian Paints was the highest Nifty gainer. It jumped 11.2% this week after its quarterly revenue surged. It was adopted by Adani Enterprises, which climbed 6.2%, and IndiGo dad or mum InterGlobe Aviation, which rose 5.8%. 

HCL Tech was the highest IT inventory, rising 5.4%. TCS, Tech Mahindra, Wipro every gained greater than 3%. Amongst drugmakers, Solar Pharma climbed 3.9% whereas Dr Reddy’s Labs gained 3.4%. Jio Monetary, Bharti Airtel and Adani Ports had been the opposite main winners this week.

On the different finish of the spectrum, Trent was the highest loser. The retailer slipped 5.1% after reporting its slowest income development since 2021. Bajaj Finance misplaced 4.5% after slashing its asset development forecast for 2025-26. Tata Metal, Apollo Hospitals, Max Healthcare, Eicher and Bajaj Finserv had been the opposite main laggards.

 

FD_Kuvera

 

Different Headlines

 

  • Edtech agency PhysicsWallah jumps almost 49% on buying and selling debut, will get $5.2 billion valuation
  • Auto part maker Tenneco Clear Air lists at 27% premium to IPO worth
  • India’s merchandise commerce deficit widens to document excessive of $41.68 billion in October
  • RBI cautious in the direction of cryptocurrencies, stablecoins, says Governor Sanjay Malhotra
  • Air India to renew flights to China after almost six years
  • Bangladesh court docket halts arbitration with Adani Energy over dues
  • Liquor companies ask Telangana govt to settle Rs 2,985 crore in overdue funds
  • Azad Engineering indicators cope with Pratt & Whitney Canada to make plane engine components
  • Berkshire Hathaway buys Google dad or mum Alphabet shares value almost $4.9 billion
  • Nomura probes India fixed-income unit over revenue inflation, studies Bloomberg; firm denies
  • Hopeful of assembly FY26 tax assortment goal, says CBDT chairman
  • Govt notifies guidelines to implement new Digital Private Information Safety legislation

That’s all for this week. Till subsequent week, glad investing!

 

Focused on how we take into consideration the markets?

Learn extra: Zen And The Artwork Of Investing

 

Watch right here: Investing in Worldwide Markets

Begin investing by means of a platform that brings aim planning and investing to your fingertips. Go to kuvera.in to find Direct Plans and Mounted Deposits and begin investing right this moment. #MutualFundSahiHai #KuveraSabseSahiHai

 

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