On Friday, the Nifty 50 confirmed a optimistic bounce, ending the day larger after reaching an intraday peak. The broader market additionally adopted swimsuit with modest beneficial properties. Technical indicators mirrored energy, with key momentum and pattern measures signalling continued upward assist.
Investor sentiment improved noticeably, as mirrored by a major drop in market volatility, suggesting lowered anxiousness amongst merchants. Most sectoral indices closed in optimistic territory, with the power and actual property sectors main the beneficial properties, pushed by robust performances from key corporations inside these industries. Nevertheless, some sectors, notably metals, confronted promoting stress and ended the day decrease, dragged down by main gamers experiencing declines.
In distinction to the upbeat home market, a number of main Asian markets noticed weak spot, whereas the U.S. futures pointed to a cautious begin for the approaching week. Total, regardless of the optimistic shut on Friday, market individuals remained cautious for the week forward amid issues over upcoming company earnings, potential coverage modifications, and ongoing geopolitical uncertainties.
On this overview, we are going to analyze the important thing technical ranges and pattern instructions for Nifty and BSE Sensex to observe within the upcoming buying and selling periods. All of the charts talked about under are primarily based on the 5-minute timeframe.
Nifty 50
(On this evaluation, we now have used 20/50/100/200 EMAs, the place 20 EMA (Pink), 50 EMA (Orange), 100 EMA (Gentle Blue), and 200 EMA (Darkish Blue)).
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The Nifty 50 Index opened in inexperienced at 25,429 on Friday, up 24 factors from Thursday’s closing of 25,453.40. The Nifty Index was unstable within the morning session, and was buying and selling within the vary of 25,300 and 25,400. It was consolidating across the opening stage of 25,400 and was under 20/50/100 EMAs within the 15-minute time-frame within the morning session and traded close to the 200-day EMA. Within the afternoon session, the Nifty Index progressively picked up the momentum and rebounded from its day’s low of 25,332 and closed in inexperienced at 25,461. Throughout midday, it traded under all 4 EMAs, however later closed above 20/50/100/200 EMAs within the 15-minute time-frame within the afternoon session.
Nifty’s speedy resistance ranges are R1 (25,470), R2 (25,487), and R3 (25,507), whereas speedy assist ranges are S1 (25,397), S2 (25,358), and S3 (25,332). The Nifty index had reached a day’s excessive at 25,470.25, closed in inexperienced above the 25,450 mark, and noticed a day’s low at 25,332. Lastly, it had closed above the opening stage at 25,461, gaining 55.7 factors or 0.22%. The Relative Energy Index (RSI) stood at 61 (under the overbought zone of 70) within the each day time-frame, and Nifty 50 closed above the 4 20/50/100/200 EMAs within the each day time-frame.
Financial institution Nifty
(On this evaluation, we now have used 20/50/100/200 EMAs, the place 20 EMA (Pink), 50 EMA (Orange), 100 EMA (Gentle Blue), and 200 EMA (Darkish Blue)).
The Financial institution Nifty Index additionally adopted an analogous pattern as Nifty 50, opening at 56,825 on Friday, up by 33 factors from Thursday’s closing of 56,792. It was buying and selling between the vary of 56,700 and 56,800 ranges within the morning session, indicating volatility, and was under the 20/50/100/200 EMAs within the 15-minute time-frame. Within the afternoon session, the Financial institution Nifty recovered from its day’s low of 56,624 and closed above the 57,000 mark, round 57,031.90. Throughout midday, it traded under all 4 EMAs, however later closed above 20/50/100/200 EMAs within the 15-minute time-frame within the afternoon session.
Financial institution Nifty speedy resistance ranges are R1 (57,091), R2 (57,192), and R3 (57,245), whereas speedy assist ranges are S1 (56,886), S2 (56,751), and S3 (56,631). The Financial institution Nifty index had peaked at 57,075 and had a day’s low at 56,624. Lastly, it had closed close to its day’s excessive in inexperienced at 57,031.9, up by 239.95 factors or 0.42%. The Relative Energy Index (RSI) stood at 59 (under the overbought zone of 70) within the each day time-frame, and Financial institution Nifty was above the 20/50/100/200 EMAs within the each day time-frame.
Sensex
(On this evaluation, we now have used 20/50/100/200 EMAs, the place 20 EMA (Pink), 50 EMA (Orange), 100 EMA (Gentle Blue), and 200 EMA (Darkish Blue)).
The BSE Sensex Index adopted the identical pattern, opening at 83,307 on Friday, up by 68 factors from Thursday’s closing of 83,239. The Index was unstable within the morning session, and was buying and selling within the vary of 83,150 and 83,250. It was consolidating close to the opening stage of 83,260 and was under 20/50/100 EMAs within the 15-minute time-frame within the morning session and traded close to the 200-day EMA. Within the afternoon session, the Sensex Index progressively picked up the momentum and bounced again from its day’s low of 83,016 and closed in inexperienced at 83,432.89. Throughout midday, it traded under all 4 EMAs, however later closed above 20/50/100/200 EMAs within the 15-minute time-frame within the afternoon session.
BSE Sensex speedy resistance ranges are R1 (83,501), R2 (83,629), and R3 (83,810), whereas speedy assist ranges are S1 (83,335), S2 (83,185), and S3 (82,015). The BSE Sensex index had peaked at 83,478 and had a day’s low at 83,016. Lastly, it closed at 83,432.89, up by 193.42 factors or 0.23%. The Relative Energy Index (RSI) stood at 59.85 (under the overbought zone of 70) within the each day time-frame, and BSE Sensex was above all 4 20/50/100/200 EMAs within the each day time-frame.
India VIX
The India VIX decreased from 12.39 to 12.32 on Friday, down by 0.070 factors or 0.57%. The slight lower within the VIX index reveals an ease in market volatility.
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Market Recap, July 4th, 2025
On Friday, the Nifty 50 opened at 25,428.85, touched an intraday excessive of 25,470.25, and closed close to its peak at 25,461.00, up 55.70 factors or 0.22% for the day. The BSE Sensex additionally gained floor, rising 193.42 factors or 0.23%, closing at 83,432.89 from a gap stage of 83,306.81. Technical indicators confirmed energy, with the Nifty 50’s RSI at 61.01 and the index buying and selling above its 20, 50, 100, and 200-day EMAs. Equally, the Sensex ended above all its key shifting averages, with an RSI of 59.85, properly under the overbought threshold of 70.
Volatility continued to say no, with the India VIX falling to a nine-month low of 12.32, suggesting lowered investor anxiousness and an enchancment in market sentiment. Most sectoral indices ended the day within the inexperienced. The Nifty Oil & Fuel index was one of many prime performers, closing at 12,002.35, up 125.05 factors or 1.05%. Bharat Petroleum, Indraprastha Fuel, and Indian Oil Company led the beneficial properties on this sector, with will increase of as much as 4.43%. The Nifty Realty index additionally noticed notable beneficial properties, ending the day at 971.95, up 0.91%, pushed by robust performances from Raymond Realty, Brigade Enterprises, and Phoenix Mills, every gaining over 2%.
On the draw back, the Nifty Steel index was among the many few laggards, closing at 9,580.40, down 43.05 factors or 0.45%. Jindal Stainless, Tata Metal, and SAIL weighed on the sector, every declining by greater than 1.3%.
Asian markets confirmed combined to bearish developments. The Hong Kong Dangle Seng dropped 115.89 factors or 0.48% to 23,916.06, whereas South Korea’s Kospi slumped 2.04% or 62.37 factors to three,054.28. Japan’s Nikkei 225 remained principally flat, inching up 24.98 factors or 0.06% to 39,810.88. China’s Shanghai Composite gained 11.17 factors or 0.32%, closing at 3,472.32. In the meantime, U.S. Dow Jones Futures declined 258.37 factors or 0.58%, ending at 44,572.15.
Regardless of Friday’s rebound, the Nifty 50 ended the week down 0.69%, indicating cautious investor sentiment resulting from upcoming Q1FY26 earnings stories, potential tariff updates, and ongoing geopolitical developments.
Commerce Setup Abstract
The Nifty 50 opened in inexperienced on Friday however was unstable within the morning session, however rebounded later within the afternoon session, and closed on a optimistic be aware at 25,461, peaking at 25,470. A break under 25,397 might set off additional promoting in the direction of 25,358, whereas a break above 25,470 might set off bullishness in the direction of 25,487.
Financial institution Nifty opened on an analogous pattern, opening in inexperienced and ending at 57,031.9, above the 57,000 mark. A break under 56,886 might set off additional promoting in the direction of 56,751, whereas a break above 56,090.5 might set off bullishness in the direction of 57,192.
Sensex opened on an analogous pattern, opening on a optimistic be aware, and ended above the 83,400 stage at 83,432.8. A break under 83,335 might set off additional promoting in the direction of 83,185, whereas breaking the subsequent resistance stage of 83,501 may lead in the direction of the 83,629 stage.
Given the continued volatility and combined sentiments, it’s advisable to keep away from aggressive positions and anticipate clear directional strikes above resistance or under assist. Merchants ought to take into account these key assist and resistance ranges when getting into lengthy or quick positions following the value break from these essential ranges. Moreover, merchants can mix shifting averages to establish extra correct entry and exit factors.
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