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Reading: Commerce Brains Portal recommends two shares for 7 July
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StockWaves > Market Analysis > Commerce Brains Portal recommends two shares for 7 July
Market Analysis

Commerce Brains Portal recommends two shares for 7 July

StockWaves By StockWaves Last updated: July 7, 2025 10 Min Read
Commerce Brains Portal recommends two shares for 7 July
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Contents
Two shares to purchase in the present day, advisable by Commerce Brains Portal:GAIL (India) LtdMarket recap 

Two shares to purchase in the present day, advisable by Commerce Brains Portal:

Present worth: ₹221

Goal worth: ₹ 260 in 12-14 Months

Cease-loss: ₹200

Why It’s advisable: One in all India’s high producers and distributors of business and automotive lubricants is Castrol India Restricted. It’s a division of the BP Group’s Castrol Restricted. Within the Indian lubricant market, the corporate has a considerable market share of over 20%. Castrol offers dependable manufacturers akin to Castrol POWER1, Castrol MAGNATEC, Castrol EDGE, Castrol Activ, Castrol CRB, and Castrol GTX. Castrol India has three mixing services and an enormous distribution community that reaches greater than 150,000 shops throughout the nation.

In Q1FY25, working income was ₹1,422 crore, a 7% YoY improve over Q1FY24’s ₹1,325 crore. The quarter’s revenue after tax (PAT) was ₹233 crore, an 8% YoY improve from Q1FY24’s ₹216 crore. The automotive class, which accounts for 85% of the corporate’s operations, contributed extra to the general quantity acquire of 8% YoY. In Q1FY25, the corporate supplied greater than 63 million liters of quantity. 

With 148,000 areas throughout India, Castrol continues to be rising its presence in rural areas, now serving 40,000 workshops and retail institutions. Castrol India and Triumph, a bike producer, signed a provide contract for Castrol POWER1 (full artificial 2-wheeler oil). Castrol made appreciable strides in rising its industrial product line’s visibility and gaining new shoppers. It expanded its chemical administration service (CMS) enterprise to incorporate a major gearbox producer. Moreover, it’s anticipated that the corporate’s involvement in IMTEX 2025 will generate alternatives from each present and potential shoppers.

Danger Issue: As a purchaser of base oil, the corporate is primarily uncovered to market danger regarding commodity pricing. The worth of this commodity product can change considerably over brief durations. Base oil costs usually comply with the cycles of commodities. Nearly all of their working prices are associated to materials purchases. The corporate hasn’t signed any contracts for commodity derivatives. It must be talked about that whereas there are derivatives for crude oil, there are not any direct derivatives for base oil.

GAIL (India) Ltd

Present worth: ₹ 193

Goal worth: ₹ 230 in 12-14 Months

Cease-loss: ₹174

Why it’s advisable: In 1984, GAIL (India) Restricted, a Maharatna PSU, the highest pure gasoline agency in India, was based. With a various pure gasoline worth chain that features buying and selling, transmission, LNG re-gasification, petrochemicals, metropolis gasoline, E&P, and LPG manufacturing and transmission. In India, GAIL holds a 50% gasoline buying and selling share, a 70% market share in gasoline transportation, and a 15% home market share in polyethylene in petrochemicals. At the moment, the agency operates 16,420 kilometers of NG pipelines. With a complete manufacturing capability of 1.4 MMTPA and a transmission capability of 4.58 MMTPA for LPG, Gail operates 5 processing vegetation.

The corporate’s FY25 gross sales of ₹1,42,291 crore had been a 7% improve over FY24’s income of ₹1,33,499 crore. Gross Ebitda remained sturdy at ₹20,643 crore, a 22% YoY rise from ₹16,986 crore. Revenue after tax additionally elevated by 26% to ₹12,462.87 crore YoY. GAIL’s Market Capitalization touched ₹1.60 trillion. The administration anticipates that the corporate will make at the least ₹4,500 crore in revenue earlier than taxes in FY26. The corporate achieved the highest-ever annual Gasoline Transmission quantity of 127 MMSCMD and the highest-ever complete annual LPG Transmission quantity of 4.478 MMTPA in FY25. The corporate signed a long-term contract with Qatar in FY25 for a quantity of 0.75 MMTPA; provide for this contract started in April 2025. The KLL Dabhol Breakwater challenge was additionally completed.

In 2025-26, the quantity of gasoline transmission is anticipated to succeed in 138-139 MMSCMD. About 50% of the earlier APM decline was offset on 18 April, 2025, when MOPNG allotted GAIL 0.32 MMSCMD of latest nicely gasoline for LPG manufacturing. That is anticipated to enhance output and improve profitability. In FY26, GAIL expects to spend over ₹10,000 crore in capital expenditures, with vital investments in petrochemicals and pipelines ( ₹3,000 crore every) and greater than ₹1,000 crore allotted to net-zero initiatives. Together with investments in CGD, LNG, and CBG initiatives, operational CAPEX will proceed to be between ₹1,500 and ₹1,600 crore.

Danger Issue: GAIL has signed a number of agreements to import LNG for long-term durations, and the pricing method for many of these contracts is linked to HH index (the benchmark pure gasoline worth within the US), exposing the advertising and marketing margins to fluctuations in pricing, as within the low crude oil worth state of affairs, GAIL might encounter profitability strain on the advertising and marketing of LNG.

Market recap 

Friday’s buying and selling session noticed the Nifty open at 25,428.85, attain a day-high of 25,470.25, and shut at 25,461.00. The Nifty 50 ended the day up 55.70 factors, or 0.22%. The BSE Sensex elevated 193.42 factors, or 0.23% from its opening worth of 83,306.81 to its closing worth of 83,432.89. The Nifty ended Friday above all 20/50/100/200 EMAs, with the Nifty 50 RSI at 61.01. Moreover, the Sensex closed above all 20/50/100/200 EMAs, whereas the BSE Sensex RSI closed at 59.85, far under the overbought stage of 70. Moreover, on Friday, the India VIX dropped to a 9-month low of 12.32, indicating an easing of investor apprehension and an enchancment in market temper.

On Friday, most indices closed the day within the inexperienced. One of many largest gainers was the Nifty Oil and Gasoline index, which ended the day at 12,002.35, up 125.05 factors, or 1.05%. The index rose to 4.43% on Friday, with Bharat Petroleum, Indraprastha Gasoline, and IOCL among the many high gainers. The Nifty Realty index, which closed Friday at 971.95 after rising 0.91%, was one of many high gainers. Phoenix Mills, Brigade Enterprises, and Raymond Realty all had positive factors of greater than 2% on Friday.

On Friday, sure indices ended the day within the pink. The Nifty Steel index dropped -43.05 factors, or -0.45%, to shut the day at 9,580.40. SAIL, Tata Metal, and Jindal Stainless all fell greater than 1.3%, sending the sector right into a tailspin.

Friday noticed a bearish development in Asian markets. Whereas the South Korean Kospi index fell -2.04%, or -62.37 factors, to shut at 3,054.28 factors, the Hong Kong Grasp Seng index fell -0.48%, or -115.89 factors, to shut at 23,916.06. At 39,810.88, Japan’s Nikkei 225 closed the day unchanged, up 24.98 factors, or 0.06%. The Shanghai index gained 11.17 factors, or 0.32%, to shut the day at 3,472.32. The US Dow Jones Futures ended Friday’s buying and selling session at 44,572.15, down -258.37 factors, or -0.58%.

This week’s Nifty 50 index declined by 0.69%, indicating that traders have gotten cautious going ahead as a consequence of a number of points, together with the upcoming Q1FY26 firm stories, tariff updates, and extra geopolitical developments.

Commerce Brains Portal is a inventory evaluation platform. Its commerce identify is Dailyraven Applied sciences Pvt. Ltd, and its Sebi-registered analysis analyst registration quantity is INH000015729.

Investments in securities are topic to market dangers. Learn all of the associated paperwork rigorously earlier than investing.

Registration granted by Sebi and certification from NISM by no means assure efficiency of the middleman or present any assurance of returns to traders.

Disclaimer: The views and suggestions given on this article are these of particular person analysts. These don’t symbolize the views of Mint. We advise traders to test with licensed specialists earlier than making any funding choices.

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