Shares of the cigarette-to-hotels conglomerate ITC in Monday’s session (February 3) gained marginally at the same time as the federal government didn’t levied a better tax on cigarettes within the Union Funds 2025. Till the finances announcement, there remained excessive uncertainty round tax hike on tobacco and all of the shares inside the pack together with Godfrey Phillips India Ltd, VST Industries and ITC tumbled as much as 10 per cent within the earlier month.
At round 10:16 am, shares of ITC pared preliminary intra-day positive aspects and was buying and selling decrease by 0.42 per cent or Rs 1.95 at Rs 460.5 per share on the BSE.
Analyst expectations on the excise responsibility hike
It was extensively anticipated that this time round cigarettes might entice a 5 per cent hike in taxes. Analysts, nonetheless, have been of the view that in case the hike in excise responsibility on cigarettes is over 10 per cent, the inventory worth of ITC can be weighed down. Nonetheless, no hike state of affairs is taken into account to be the perfect case for cigarette shares, adopted by a single-digit hike that certainly might be simply absorbed by cigarette firms.
How international brokerages view no-tax hike state of affairs for ITC?
World brokerage Jefferies has reiterated its ‘purchase’ stance on the counter with the goal pegged at Rs 550, implying potential positive aspects of over 19 per cent from the final shut. As per the brokerage, ITC has emerged as a winner with no improve in tobacco tax. Additional Jefferies held that steady tax regime improves earnings visibility for the corporate.
GST charges are additionally more likely to keep steady till March 2026 till the centre settles dues to states, Jefferies talked about in its observe.
Additionally, the corporate is a pure beneficiary of non-public tax cuts that’s more likely to spur consumption, added the brokerage.