The New York Metropolis mayoral race has tightened dramatically, with former governor Andrew Cuomo slicing Zohran Mamdani’s result in simply 10 factors, based on a brand new Suffolk College ballot launched on Monday (October 27). The election is about for November 4.
Mamdani, the Democratic nominee, holds 44% help amongst doubtless voters, whereas Cuomo, operating as an impartial, has climbed to 34%. Republican nominee Curtis Sliwa trails at 11%.
In September, Suffolk polling confirmed Mamdani forward by 20 factors.
Sliwa voters may tip the steadiness
David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk College Political Analysis Heart, mentioned Sliwa’s supporters could maintain the important thing to the result.
“There’s one particular person in New York Metropolis whose voters may have an outsized affect on the result,” Paleologos mentioned. “That particular person isn’t Mayor Eric Adams, Consultant Hakeem Jeffries, Senator Chuck Schumer, or any New York billionaire. It’s Republican Curtis Sliwa, whose voters maintain the 11% blocking Cuomo from successful the race.”
Amongst Sliwa supporters, Cuomo leads overwhelmingly as a second selection, 36% to Mamdani’s 2%.
Cuomo positive aspects amongst Hispanics, independents
The ballot exhibits important motion amongst two essential blocs. Cuomo now leads Mamdani by 1 level amongst Hispanic voters, after trailing by 30 factors in September. He additionally flipped independents from a 18-point deficit right into a 10-point benefit.
The shift comes after Mayor Eric Adams dropped his re-election bid and endorsed Cuomo. Adams stays on the poll as an impartial.
Affordability dominates considerations
Respondents have been almost evenly break up between householders and renters. A majority of doubtless voters—54%—say life in New York Metropolis is “considerably or very unaffordable,” underscoring financial pressures driving voter sentiment.
Polling methodology
The Suffolk survey was carried out October 23-26, via dwell cellphone interviews with 500 doubtless voters throughout all 5 boroughs, in English and Spanish. The margin of error is ±4.4 share factors.
